MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4653cf05a750f34cb269f4f16c508f204a97e77ac11dd39b2535930ee7f7f7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof Houston Astros, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $731,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $739,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $731,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Houston Astros | 39c | 370,324$145,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145,250.61 | 1,449 | 49.5%717 W · 732 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed New York Yankees | 54c | 260,594$139,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,895.96 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 67c | 82,698$55,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,214.75 | 11,102 | 51.5%5,715 W · 5,387 L | +135.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Houston Astros | 44c | 49,916$21,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,992.65 | 4,427 | 47.5%2,101 W · 2,326 L | -77.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees | 60c | 40,545$24,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,105.33 | 3,139 | 48.2%1,514 W · 1,625 L | -10.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Houston Astros | 46c | 40,000$18,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,400 | 281 | 54.1%152 W · 129 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed New York Yankees | 59c | 29,656$17,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,303.64 | 634 | 43.5%276 W · 358 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed New York Yankees | 71c | 29,043$20,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,422.41 | 908 | 46.5%422 W · 486 L | +27.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed New York Yankees | 53c | 28,302$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,301.89 | 254 | 45.3%115 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed New York Yankees | 53c | 19,981$10,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,391.13 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 46c | 16,302$7,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,498.92 | 3,562 | 51%1,817 W · 1,745 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 64c | 9,206$5,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,323.01 | 8,304 | 46.2%3,840 W · 4,464 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 46c | 7,720$3,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,551.18 | 5,567 | 50.5%2,812 W · 2,755 L | +25.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees | 62c | 6,686$4,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.3 | 4,120 | 57.6%2,375 W · 1,745 L | +67.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 6,084$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.9 | 11,653 | 52.8%6,157 W · 5,496 L | +214.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed New York Yankees | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 510 | 52.5%268 W · 242 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Yankees | 68c | 5,394$3,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.83 | 986 | 45%444 W · 542 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Houston Astros | 34c | 5,105$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.87 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Houston Astros | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 1,088 | 48.3%525 W · 563 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Houston Astros | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked New York Yankees | 48c | 4,076$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.62 | 580 | 58.4%339 W · 241 L | +28.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 4,025$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.58 | 492 | 45.9%226 W · 266 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.99 | 997 | 50.1%499 W · 498 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed New York Yankees | 68c | 3,360$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.22 | 1,877 | 50.2%943 W · 934 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed New York Yankees | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.81 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 25c | 3,116$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.23 | 8,682 | 52.6%4,563 W · 4,119 L | +505.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 503 | 51.9%261 W · 242 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Houston Astros | 62c | 2,981$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.32 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 1,698 | 50.2%853 W · 845 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 2,600$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.8 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 34c | 2,553$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.57 | 4,445 | 45%2,001 W · 2,444 L | +87.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed New York Yankees | 51c | 2,552$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.11 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Houston Astros | 28c | 2,541$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.62 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Houston Astros | 57c | 2,524$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.14 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 65c | 2,314$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.31 | 8,484 | 47.9%4,062 W · 4,422 L | +79.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Houston Astros | 38c | 2,303$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.86 | 258 | 52.7%136 W · 122 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed Houston Astros | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 47c | 2,109$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.72 | 7,078 | 50.5%3,576 W · 3,502 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked New York Yankees | 75c | 1,904$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.98 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…7eccbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 1,800$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 594 | 52.9%314 W · 280 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed New York Yankees | 52c | 1,785$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.51 | 406 | 43.6%177 W · 229 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…1623backed Houston Astros | 48c | 1,406$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.11 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed New York Yankees | 47c | 1,382$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.63 | 378 | 56.9%215 W · 163 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…bcf8backed New York Yankees | 79c | 1,299$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Houston Astros | 47c | 1,247$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.18 | 1,697 | 49.1%834 W · 863 L | +3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 1,196$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.12 | 384 | 49%188 W · 196 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed New York Yankees | 61c | 1,157$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.58 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 1,136$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 1,093$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.92 | 1,543 | 51.1%789 W · 754 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…e3bcbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 330 | 48.2%159 W · 171 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Houston Astros | 50c | 996.74$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked New York Yankees | 53c | 996$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.12 | 1,478 | 51%754 W · 724 L | -19.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed New York Yankees | 54c | 927$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.42 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6457…ed50backed Houston Astros | 50c | 862.15$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…33d0backed Houston Astros | 50c | 862.15$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 850$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.5 | 1,926 | 53.4%1,029 W · 897 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Houston Astros | 47c | 817$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.99 | 1,420 | 48.9%694 W · 726 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Yankees | 66c | 753.42$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.68 | 4,201 | 50.2%2,109 W · 2,092 L | +94.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Houston Astros | 47c | 750$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 317 | 52.7%167 W · 150 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 750$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 749.78$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.12 | 633 | 47.1%298 W · 335 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed New York Yankees | 68c | 735.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.93 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c5…0322backed New York Yankees | 54c | 727.28$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 41c | 710.53$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.17 | 9,891 | 46.4%4,594 W · 5,297 L | +40.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed New York Yankees | 62c | 662.17$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.05 | 533 | 57.6%307 W · 226 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Houston Astros | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 167 | 41.3%69 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed New York Yankees | 58c | 602.46$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.95 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4858…3dd3backed New York Yankees | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa466…1c77backed Houston Astros | 36c | 583.5$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.25 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +166.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed New York Yankees | 52c | 576.53$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.03 | 1,975 | 41.3%815 W · 1,160 L | -27.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…9a05backed Houston Astros | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed New York Yankees | 72c | 544.93$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.26 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Houston Astros | 38c | 520.58$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.01 | 883 | 48%424 W · 459 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed New York Yankees | 59c | 509.16$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Houston Astros | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.61 | 1,939 | 44.5%862 W · 1,077 L | -29.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…ffe4backed Houston Astros | 53c | 500$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed New York Yankees | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…b081backed New York Yankees | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Houston Astros | 46c | 493.5$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.01 | 2,372 | 49.7%1,179 W · 1,193 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked New York Yankees | 75c | 424.22$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 944 | 56.5%533 W · 411 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed New York Yankees | 47c | 412.69$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.01 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 11c | 411.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 2,077 | 39.3%817 W · 1,260 L | -27.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Houston Astros | 34c | 399.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Houston Astros | 47c | 382.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Houston Astros | 23c | 369$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 792 | 49.2%390 W · 402 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed New York Yankees | 59c | 357.8$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.7 | 312 | 47.8%149 W · 163 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Houston Astros | 43c | 355.13$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.71 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed New York Yankees | 49c | 348.15$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 174 | 42%73 W · 101 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 331.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.5 | 1,267 | 58.5%741 W · 526 L | +26.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed New York Yankees | 59c | 325.87$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.5 | 364 | 51.4%187 W · 177 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked New York Yankees | 62c | 309.13$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 1,049 | 58.4%613 W · 436 L | +21.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed New York Yankees | 73c | 267.3$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 1,019 | 44.7%455 W · 564 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Houston Astros | 48c | 258.56$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.11 | 597 | 43%257 W · 340 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 261 | 47.5%124 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked New York Yankees | 65c | 249.25$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.81 | 2,175 | 51.5%1,121 W · 1,054 L | +54.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed New York Yankees | 65c | 244.58$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 367 | 53.1%195 W · 172 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. New York Yankeesthis page
- Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.