Fifa International · resolved market
Jude Bellingham: 2+ shots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7701679841bf7fcbe7a3b4fcd08ceb9a227980de16abecaf5eb4fddf01611d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed No | 33c | 1,075$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.71 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 34c | 554.97$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.47 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9899…5d02backed Yes | 67c | 448$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.84 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 32c | 235.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 66c | 229.7$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Yes | 66c | 228.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.41 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 35c | 195.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…720fbacked Yes | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4dd…39e4backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -6.8wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…093dbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…86cfbacked Yes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…b529backed Yes | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 35c | 86.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…e8fabacked Yes | 67c | 80.48$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…2fbabacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe357…50cfbacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed No | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked No | 34c | 46.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 66c | 38.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 33c | 34.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 373 | 50.1%187 W · 186 L | +45.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5273…69f5backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb15f…e0d4backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 67c | 28.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…417fbacked Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2190…bc21backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…bd60backed Yes | 70c | 17.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +18.9wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ shotsthis page
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shotsYes won
- Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shotsYes won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ goalsYes won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ assistsYes won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Anthony Gordon: 2+ assistsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 2+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 2+ shotsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ assistsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ shotsYes won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ shotsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 3+ shotsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ assistsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ shotsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ assistsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ shotsNo won
- Declan Rice: 4+ shotsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 1+ assistsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 1+ goalsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 3+ shotsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ shotsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ shotsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ shots on targetNo won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ shotsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 4+ shotsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 5+ shotsNo won
- Fredrik Aursnes: 1+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 1+ assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 2+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 2+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 3+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 4+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 5+ shotsNo won
- Jordan Pickford: 3+ savesYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ shotsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.