Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcce9c5e0000f3ec4383c3738744bbd7c12f1ff5ab4a5ddcf8869acc1f94b3cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 43c | 1,324$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.34 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 39c | 1,021$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.98 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 845.2$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.34 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 54c | 748.9$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.95 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 61c | 748$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.5 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 72c | 637.06$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.06 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 40c | 633.09$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.22 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…81d9backed Yes | 25c | 543.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.55 | 420 | 36.4%153 W · 267 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 52c | 530.44$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.8 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 61c | 482.63$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.54 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 44c | 376.96$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 52c | 369.82$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.38 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 44c | 366.65$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.79 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 58c | 334.51$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.31 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 31c | 331.09$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.45 | 251 | 35.1%88 W · 163 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 70c | 290.76$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.22 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 32c | 285$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.35 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 49c | 281.15$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.14 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 53c | 240$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 8c | 223.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 39c | 217.93$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.16 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 35c | 217.87$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 53c | 214.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.59 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 12c | 208$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…39b0backed Yes | 48c | 206.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.66 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 59c | 196$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.73 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 52c | 189$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa691…41f7backed No | 71c | 186.89$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.12 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 32c | 176.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.53 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 62c | 175.69$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 33c | 171.06$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 56c | 164.71$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 29c | 151.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.05 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 46c | 150.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 52c | 149.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 61c | 149.9$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…d288backed Yes | 36c | 143.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.44 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 36c | 139$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.96 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 47c | 137$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.01 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 59c | 132.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.62 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Yes | 49c | 128.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed Yes | 31c | 127.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.02 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 72c | 121.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.59 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 37c | 119.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…3c24backed Yes | 36c | 117.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +129%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 62c | 117$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 57c | 114.03$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 29c | 106.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.65 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 45c | 103$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…e6e3backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…f2febacked Yes | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 99.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 57c | 99.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29d…f43cbacked Yes | 50c | 99.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 64c | 99.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fc…4330backed Yes | 45c | 96.73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.73 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 60c | 96.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25d…e6b8backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 62c | 92.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…edf6backed Yes | 46c | 89.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…902dbacked No | 57c | 89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 57c | 86.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked Yes | 21c | 85.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 79c | 85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 26c | 85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…69e7backed Yes | 48c | 85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 22c | 84.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…3e99backed Yes | 24c | 83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…c258backed Yes | 46c | 80.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef32…265cbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 70c | 79.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0751…073abacked No | 63c | 78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd636…10efbacked No | 56c | 76.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 76c | 75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 25c | 74.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 52c | 72.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 51c | 70.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 33c | 69.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f10…9d99backed Yes | 45c | 68.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…6e66backed Yes | 33c | 67.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc64…2c70backed Yes | 45c | 67.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 29c | 65.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 38c | 64.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc6…22a6backed Yes | 45c | 64.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b96…4268backed No | 49c | 62.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 20c | 58.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 40c | 57.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…9611backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 31c | 56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.