TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, New York Mets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$258,953
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$264,138

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,953 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets53c76,310$40,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,797.581,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs48c47,250$22,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,722.8610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets30c21,838$6,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,477.524,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets50c15,554$7,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7771,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs53c15,097$7,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,119.711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc2…fcadbacked New York Mets50c12,055$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago Cubs61c8,892$5,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,438.9695045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed New York Mets23c8,377$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.731,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago Cubs75c7,470$5,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.092,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs65c4,895$3,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.4112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs50c4,676$2,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,334.461,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets49c3,362$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.976,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Cubs50c3,064$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.362,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Chicago Cubs51c2,898$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.2689153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked New York Mets50c2,040$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0201225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-56.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked New York Mets2c1,994$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8837032.7%121 W · 249 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Chicago Cubs48c1,934$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.6632251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets5c1,763$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.98,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Chicago Cubs76c1,584$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.1891252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Chicago Cubs50c1,575$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.7192046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed New York Mets2c1,561$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets52c1,497$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.072,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets18c1,438$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.988,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed New York Mets20c1,431$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.222,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Chicago Cubs66c1,356$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.2633864.2%217 W · 121 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago Cubs50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1be…d4acbacked New York Mets49c999.38$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.318446.4%39 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Chicago Cubs46c891.82$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.252,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Chicago Cubs58c874.3$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.285,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Chicago Cubs51c784.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.394549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Mets13c744.2$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.644,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa689…15fcbacked New York Mets54c641.66$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.4924346.9%114 W · 129 L-1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Chicago Cubs50c637.85$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.4529656.1%166 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed New York Mets3c609$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.357046.8%267 W · 303 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked New York Mets3c600$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1817417.2%30 W · 144 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6451…b57abacked New York Mets50c595.8$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.9814841.2%61 W · 87 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Chicago Cubs77c576.24$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.952,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Chicago Cubs51c560.78$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.7860043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets53c538.46$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.539,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed New York Mets4c524.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9579442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked New York Mets2c519.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.34754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs61c462.17$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.118,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked New York Mets3c450$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.426618.4%49 W · 217 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked Chicago Cubs46c448.53$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.4210145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs59c446.47$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.434,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Chicago Cubs49c420$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.217853.4%95 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Cubs50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2102,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a70…4865backed Chicago Cubs47c320.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.997358.9%43 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed New York Mets50c274.91$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.72,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Chicago Cubs64c266.15$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.716,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked New York Mets25c265.94$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5636759.1%217 W · 150 L+26.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked New York Mets7c243.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.091,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked New York Mets54c227.96$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.119546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329f…3f5bbacked New York Mets20c225$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4525244%111 W · 141 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked New York Mets37c214.76$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.411,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed New York Mets25c214.01$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.451,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5dbe…ea98backed Chicago Cubs75c207.83$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.968968.5%61 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed New York Mets49c207.13$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8351545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed New York Mets11c205.26$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5854715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Chicago Cubs49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0818860.1%113 W · 75 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Chicago Cubs49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8f…a3dcbacked New York Mets50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Chicago Cubs50c198$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9951449.2%253 W · 261 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed New York Mets52c192.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.351,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed New York Mets54c190$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.61,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee5a…9f70backed New York Mets52c185$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.658035%28 W · 52 L-10.5wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Chicago Cubs46c184$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.081,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb92…b221backed New York Mets55c179.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8837944.3%168 W · 211 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed New York Mets49c173.56$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.051,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd6e…4555backed Chicago Cubs49c172$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7214046.4%65 W · 75 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80e3…14c3backed Chicago Cubs49c163.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2710155.4%56 W · 45 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Mets49c149.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.092,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c3…a3d2backed Chicago Cubs68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.062564%16 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked New York Mets49c140$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.61,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked New York Mets50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706735.8%24 W · 43 L-10.3wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-32.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs64c136.56$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.336,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed New York Mets21c135.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.782,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed New York Mets9c130.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1252228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x334f…0d32backed Chicago Cubs76c130$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.237868.8%260 W · 118 L+25.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd5b…3b06backed Chicago Cubs47c127.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.58556.5%48 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed New York Mets57c111.6$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4835849.4%177 W · 181 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ee…47c8backed New York Mets52c110.59$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.511136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked Chicago Cubs51c109.8$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.880855.3%447 W · 361 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked New York Mets49c108.16$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5373243.4%318 W · 414 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a0…c52bbacked New York Mets14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523145.5%105 W · 126 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Chicago Cubs48c105.97$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9920648.1%99 W · 107 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6871…e9dcbacked Chicago Cubs49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.046139.3%24 W · 37 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-25.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked New York Mets49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012944.2%57 W · 72 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed New York Mets55c101.36$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.567453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Chicago Cubs66c101.33$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4385148.5%413 W · 438 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Chicago Cubs49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5112061.7%74 W · 46 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x920b…fcfbbacked Chicago Cubs50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5016648.8%81 W · 85 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ff1…4ec0backed Chicago Cubs75c99.91$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9812271.3%87 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Chicago Cubs51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0447849%234 W · 244 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Chicago Cubs48c91.9$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.791,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Chicago Cubs58c90.86$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1219756.9%112 W · 85 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x967f…a5d9backed Chicago Cubs75c87.91$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9814372.7%104 W · 39 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked Chicago Cubs46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9612753.5%68 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91bc…28d6backed Chicago Cubs48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3319754.8%108 W · 89 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked New York Mets21c80.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179338.7%36 W · 57 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.