MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe14b6a4204630ab393715148755a8e7a64e5b80ccb2f9ae156d28280298ba4cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $264,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets | 53c | 76,310$40,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,797.58 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 47,250$22,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,722.86 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 30c | 21,838$6,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,477.52 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 50c | 15,554$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 15,097$7,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,119.7 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc2…fcadbacked New York Mets | 50c | 12,055$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 8,892$5,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,438.96 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed New York Mets | 23c | 8,377$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.73 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 75c | 7,470$5,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.09 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 4,895$3,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.41 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 4,676$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.46 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 49c | 3,362$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.97 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 3,064$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.36 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 2,898$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.26 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked New York Mets | 50c | 2,040$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked New York Mets | 2c | 1,994$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,934$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.66 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 5c | 1,763$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Chicago Cubs | 76c | 1,584$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.18 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,575$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.71 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed New York Mets | 2c | 1,561$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets | 52c | 1,497$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.07 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets | 18c | 1,438$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.98 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed New York Mets | 20c | 1,431$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.22 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Chicago Cubs | 66c | 1,356$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.26 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked New York Mets | 49c | 999.38$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.31 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 891.82$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.25 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 874.3$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.28 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 784.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.3 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Mets | 13c | 744.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked New York Mets | 54c | 641.66$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.49 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 637.85$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.45 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed New York Mets | 3c | 609$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked New York Mets | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked New York Mets | 50c | 595.8$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.98 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 77c | 576.24$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.95 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 560.78$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.78 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 53c | 538.46$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.53 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed New York Mets | 4c | 524.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked New York Mets | 2c | 519.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 462.17$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.11 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked New York Mets | 3c | 450$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 448.53$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.42 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 446.47$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.43 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 420$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 320.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.99 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed New York Mets | 50c | 274.91$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 266.15$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.71 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked New York Mets | 25c | 265.94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked New York Mets | 7c | 243.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked New York Mets | 54c | 227.96$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.1 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329f…3f5bbacked New York Mets | 20c | 225$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 252 | 44%111 W · 141 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked New York Mets | 37c | 214.76$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.41 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed New York Mets | 25c | 214.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…ea98backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 207.83$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed New York Mets | 49c | 207.13$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.83 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed New York Mets | 11c | 205.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked New York Mets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 198$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed New York Mets | 52c | 192.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed New York Mets | 54c | 190$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed New York Mets | 52c | 185$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 184$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.08 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed New York Mets | 55c | 179.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Mets | 49c | 173.56$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 172$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…14c3backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Mets | 49c | 149.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.09 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c3…a3d2backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked New York Mets | 49c | 140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked New York Mets | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -10.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 136.56$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Mets | 21c | 135.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed New York Mets | 9c | 130.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Chicago Cubs | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 378 | 68.8%260 W · 118 L | +25.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 127.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed New York Mets | 57c | 111.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed New York Mets | 52c | 110.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 109.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked New York Mets | 49c | 108.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked New York Mets | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 105.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked New York Mets | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed New York Mets | 55c | 101.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Chicago Cubs | 66c | 101.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…fcfbbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff1…4ec0backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 99.91$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 91.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 90.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x967f…a5d9backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 87.91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 143 | 72.7%104 W · 39 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…695fbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 197 | 54.8%108 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked New York Mets | 21c | 80.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. New York Metsthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.