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Tennis · resolved market

US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlickova vs Nao Hibino

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lucie Havlickovaof Lucie Havlickova, Nao Hibino
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$171,160
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,693

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,160 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Nao Hibino12c36,119$4,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,304.429,26736.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L-199.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Lucie Havlickova74c9,581$7,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,490.951,21849.2%599 W · 619 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Lucie Havlickova70c7,305$5,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.324,30545%1,939 W · 2,366 L+20.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Nao Hibino29c4,847$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.664,40752.3%2,304 W · 2,103 L+66.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…a2d1backed Nao Hibino51c3,960$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010055%55 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Nao Hibino33c3,924$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.054,80349.5%2,379 W · 2,424 L+174.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Nao Hibino34c3,882$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.393,77642.6%1,608 W · 2,168 L-44.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Nao Hibino31c3,385$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.8778055.4%432 W · 348 L+52.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Nao Hibino33c3,048$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.362,36952.2%1,236 W · 1,133 L+87.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Nao Hibino1c3,000$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33636.3%4 W · 59 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Nao Hibino38c2,626$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.1339235.5%139 W · 253 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Lucie Havlickova64c2,592$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.126,70050.8%3,401 W · 3,299 L+267.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1680…490dbacked Nao Hibino52c2,040$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0684634.8%16 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Lucie Havlickova52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9603,39748.6%1,652 W · 1,745 L-47.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Nao Hibino8c1,855$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.429897.9%78 W · 911 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Lucie Havlickova49c1,531$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.611,89345.9%868 W · 1,025 L+53.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nao Hibino10c1,418$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3411,87743.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L+19.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lucie Havlickova50c1,174$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.448,92142.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L-169.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Lucie Havlickova69c798.45$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.881,81546.5%844 W · 971 L-6.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Nao Hibino51c753.22$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.117949.4%39 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Lucie Havlickova48c708.31$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.462,58138.7%999 W · 1,582 L+100.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Lucie Havlickova69c673.38$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.191,12152.2%585 W · 536 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Lucie Havlickova48c666$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.3239951.1%204 W · 195 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Lucie Havlickova73c613.12$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.825,48656.3%3,088 W · 2,398 L+232.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Nao Hibino33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019347.7%92 W · 101 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Lucie Havlickova47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31870244.6%313 W · 389 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Lucie Havlickova75c590.61$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.651,70950.6%864 W · 845 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Nao Hibino34c568$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1243258.6%253 W · 179 L+28.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Lucie Havlickova66c557$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.1550351.7%260 W · 243 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8888…3d5cbacked Lucie Havlickova66c544.54$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.7232553.5%174 W · 151 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3679…492ebacked Lucie Havlickova66c542.14$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3432354.2%175 W · 148 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Lucie Havlickova66c540.41$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.5648254.8%264 W · 218 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed Lucie Havlickova64c535$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.642260.9%257 W · 165 L+35.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Lucie Havlickova64c532$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.5243359.4%257 W · 176 L+28.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe89c…9c72backed Lucie Havlickova66c530.23$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.7345655.3%252 W · 204 L+21.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Lucie Havlickova64c528$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.0843260%259 W · 173 L+29.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Lucie Havlickova66c515.92$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6753757.7%310 W · 227 L+32.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Lucie Havlickova64c515$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.448059.4%285 W · 195 L+28.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf030…dbbabacked Lucie Havlickova69c513$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.153237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Lucie Havlickova66c512.84$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.4954255.5%301 W · 241 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Lucie Havlickova66c501$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.446453.4%248 W · 216 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Nao Hibino52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25047955.1%264 W · 215 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Nao Hibino19c471$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.495,03138.5%1,939 W · 3,092 L-20.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Lucie Havlickova47c405.8$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.071,73348.4%839 W · 894 L+40.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Lucie Havlickova49c395.65$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.781,89544.9%851 W · 1,044 L+38.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e8…8ef4backed Nao Hibino53c370.38$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.31758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd13e…ed01backed Lucie Havlickova67c368.3$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3536155.1%199 W · 162 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Lucie Havlickova73c354.66$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.692,08846.7%975 W · 1,113 L+19.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Lucie Havlickova67c352$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4551658.5%302 W · 214 L+34.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6851…ec54backed Lucie Havlickova70c352$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2412349.6%61 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb6…32b5backed Lucie Havlickova67c348.09$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4934056.8%193 W · 147 L+22.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x70ca…2443backed Nao Hibino29c346.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.492133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Nao Hibino35c346.3$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.141,60624.4%392 W · 1,214 L-41.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3131…91cdbacked Lucie Havlickova67c344$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3533754.9%185 W · 152 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbab2…9decbacked Lucie Havlickova66c343.94$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7531052.6%163 W · 147 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a97…db95backed Lucie Havlickova66c341.36$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.7935353%187 W · 166 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Lucie Havlickova67c339.98$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6348857.6%281 W · 207 L+33.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf704…9420backed Nao Hibino28c337.93$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.621723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-51.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd928…705fbacked Lucie Havlickova67c334.83$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4830953.1%164 W · 145 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb2…126abacked Lucie Havlickova64c302.09$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7526440.2%106 W · 158 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Nao Hibino23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6951941%213 W · 306 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Lucie Havlickova66c298.38$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.893,23857.3%1,854 W · 1,384 L+179.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Lucie Havlickova66c296.58$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5456857.7%328 W · 240 L+37.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked Nao Hibino30c287.67$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.313457.5%77 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7007…7f47backed Nao Hibino25c271.56$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Nao Hibino25c252.31$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7422637.6%85 W · 141 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Lucie Havlickova49c240$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.41,59942.3%676 W · 923 L+19.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Lucie Havlickova49c232$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.287,22749.7%3,591 W · 3,636 L+118.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Lucie Havlickova72c225.78$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5128455.3%157 W · 127 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Lucie Havlickova49c200.96$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4933549.6%166 W · 169 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Lucie Havlickova75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5016847%79 W · 89 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe713…c9a0backed Lucie Havlickova62c200$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7711866.9%79 W · 39 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Lucie Havlickova67c198.53$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0455343.2%239 W · 314 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Lucie Havlickova76c195$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.815547.1%73 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90bf…99ebbacked Lucie Havlickova48c189.83$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.713056.7%17 W · 13 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+73%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Nao Hibino36c188.89$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6830547.5%145 W · 160 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42fc…0808backed Lucie Havlickova48c182$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.649754.6%53 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8f4…6794backed Lucie Havlickova67c170.55$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7938854.4%211 W · 177 L+15.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Nao Hibino36c168.09$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.512,89249.6%1,433 W · 1,459 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Lucie Havlickova70c161$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.338754.3%210 W · 177 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed Lucie Havlickova49c157.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5719852%103 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Nao Hibino30c151.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.493,30340.2%1,329 W · 1,974 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Nao Hibino27c149.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.981,94744%856 W · 1,091 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Lucie Havlickova74c138.59$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0331257.4%179 W · 133 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Nao Hibino51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7031555.9%176 W · 139 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Lucie Havlickova73c136.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.435,07541.5%2,104 W · 2,971 L-83.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Nao Hibino20c134.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0138731.3%121 W · 266 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f20…5d31backed Lucie Havlickova72c133.19$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2914153.2%75 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Nao Hibino24c127.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4187535.4%310 W · 565 L+23.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Lucie Havlickova47c125.83$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.691,00541.3%415 W · 590 L+14.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb978…fac0backed Lucie Havlickova71c121.88$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.88640.7%35 W · 51 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Lucie Havlickova60c112.95$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1880848.5%392 W · 416 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Lucie Havlickova68c109.59$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0714951%76 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed Nao Hibino50c107.32$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.666149.2%30 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Nao Hibino28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2845948.8%224 W · 235 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8788…d82abacked Nao Hibino51c97.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.573748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Lucie Havlickova71c92$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.689045.6%41 W · 49 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Nao Hibino19c91.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.376,72546.2%3,108 W · 3,617 L-42.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Nao Hibino36c91.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9555351.9%287 W · 266 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bdc…e345backed Lucie Havlickova78c91$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0217644.9%79 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.