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EventUs Midterms

Maine Senate Election Winner

Wallets last checked .

Us MidtermsSettled: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: Yes won. Yes: 28 wallets, $41,054 · No: 25 wallets, $19,295 28 of 53 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0x0547…fb35#10 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$2272c+$8.368
0x98d0…f14a#22 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1,35263c+$804.2865
0x40c2…b2fc#30 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$7871c+$31.564
0x6706…2341#43 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$7067c+$34.9264
0xb06c…b574#52 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$22562c+$140.8263
0x23d8…0288#55 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$10334c-$103.4363
0x0af4…89b4#78 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$40967c+$203.262
0x7e35…1a6c#88 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$90367c+$450.4162
0x07ee…8dfe#91 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1052c+$9.662
0x0a53…7a6f#92 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$70275c+$240.0662
0x686d…1a68#102 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$4055c+$32.7361
0x9dd9…08bd#112 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$20830c-$20861
0x86f0…610c#117 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$5030c-$49.8361
0xf6c6…7d80#185 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$59571c+$240.0659
0x8a4e…1ba4#254 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1,00060c+$666.6758
0x1c14…0869#302 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$11,60963c+$6,716.5158
0xc862…3fb2#328 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$2070c+$8.4957
0x6c2a…b7b5#641 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$13546c-$134.8156
0x671a…2f1e#669 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$162c-$1655
0x4488…e319#742 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$4,60940c-$4,608.9255
0xb8ee…9e81#869 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$28854c+$245.7755
0x2d6c…e3f5#978 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$3965c+$20.9754
0x03e1…e180#1,050 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$5635c-$55.5354
0x2f26…0d8fNo place on the board tonightNolost (open this pick)$1,27834c-$1,277.7951
Top 51 to 200
0xa45f…d6cb#8 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1,13562c+$689.4168
0xa667…ceb3#89 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$86469c+$379.4462
0x1547…d066#118 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$29273c+$10861
0x6139…6b7a#192 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$757c-$74.759
0x6ca0…e59d#217 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$18871c+$75.6859
0xd8d5…8935#260 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$11,11778c+$3,098.7158
0xfb59…83f9#326 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$36965c+$201.6757
0x0b57…5975#471 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$35169c+$157.4856
0xf9b5…1212#634 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1629c-$16.1656
0xe040…824f#780 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1231c-$12.355
0x7dcf…a7bd#809 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$38921c-$389.0955
0x581e…1526#851 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1571c+$6.0955
0xb17d…59ae#875 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$27870c+$12255
0x7726…4aee#964 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1,11037c-$1,11054
0xa278…3369#966 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$2433c-$23.8454
0x614d…1546#1,100 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$8,81061c+$5,704.2354
0x22db…190f#1,350 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$45940c-$458.8754
0xa169…1b73#2,770 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$5259c+$36.1352
0x8373…f0bc#2,972 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$47532c-$475.352
0xe709…9d39#3,076 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1034c-$10.252
0xd9fe…db0dNo place on the board tonightNolost (open this pick)$39932c-$399.4551
0x9d0d…2e6d#4,766 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$25439c-$254.4851
0xc3cd…816c#5,642 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$2,78632c-$2,786.1551
0x7248…7e72No place on the board tonightNolost (open this pick)$1,27133c-$1,270.6150
0xae2a…384d#8,221 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$4131c-$40.750
0x27b5…9650#8,368 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$22062c+$135.0150
0xeed8…35f0#11,492 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$2,46934c-$2,468.5249
0x1387…55f8#12,864 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$2,90818c-$2,907.6648
0x17b8…d5d1#16,313 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1436c-$142.8143

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 9 wallets, $4,858 · No: 28 wallets, $66,392 28 of 37 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0x0547…fb35#10 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$13060c+$85.268
0x98d0…f14a#22 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$3,55565c+$1,875.3365
0x40c2…b2fc#30 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$7871c+$32.264
0x6706…2341#43 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$5568c+$25.9664
0x4be5…c1b3#51 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$15030c-$15063
0xb06c…b574#52 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$2936c-$29.1363
0xa43d…00f4#65 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$4,26661c+$2,727.2863
0x7e35…1a6c#88 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1,92174c+$680.0762
0x0a53…7a6f#92 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$20858c+$152.0762
0x9dd9…08bd#112 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$16429c-$164.2461
0x83c5…e193#131 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$10867c+$52.360
0xf6c6…7d80#185 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$9066c+$46.3659
0x1c14…0869#302 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$3,29667c+$1,623.4658
0xb8ee…9e81#869 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$10153c+$89.355
0xe8c4…395d#2,695 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1,82042c-$1,819.8552
0x2f26…0d8fNo place on the board tonightYeslost (open this pick)$1,04035c-$1,040.1251
Top 51 to 200
0xa45f…d6cb#8 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$47764c+$270.1668
0xa667…ceb3#89 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1,29867c+$628.9962
0x1547…d066#118 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$50267c+$247.561
0xd8d5…8935#260 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$11,12778c+$3,102.6258
0xfb59…83f9#326 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$13461c+$85.6757
0x3690…e16f#547 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$3,01571c+$1,214.8556
0xf9b5…1212#634 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$11558c+$83.5756
0x1c62…ca89#718 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2358c+$16.855
0xe040…824f#780 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$12357c+$92.555
0xa278…3369#966 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1,75072c+$669.1354
0xa169…1b73#2,770 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$13037c-$130.2452
0x8373…f0bc#2,972 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$97566c+$494.952
0x9cdd…3e97#3,216 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$16833c-$168.3152
0xd9fe…db0dNo place on the board tonightNowon (open this pick)$1,19466c+$626.7551
0x9d0d…2e6d#4,766 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$94058c+$675.4851
0xc3cd…816c#5,642 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$5,08967c+$2,497.0651
0xa917…4e8d#5,741 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$24642c-$245.751
0x7248…7e72No place on the board tonightNowon (open this pick)$2,56667c+$1,285.1750
0xeed8…35f0#11,492 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$9,95165c+$5,332.6149
0x1387…55f8#12,864 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$13,30777c+$3,933.848
0x17b8…d5d1#16,313 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1,1117c-$1,110.5343

Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 3 wallets, $80 · No: 5 wallets, $223 5 of 8 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0xfd39…9ec8#305 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$9557c+$71.3858
0x4b8a…f4a4#567 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$8458c+$61.6256
0x2091…b784#1,060 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1139c-$11.0954
0xc695…5cfb#1,869 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$2039c-$19.553
Top 51 to 200
0x6ca0…e59d#217 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1362c+$7.9859
0x9c18…f3a2#674 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1574c+$5.2555
0x38d8…ea7c#922 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$4948c-$49.1755
0x3008…3c76#987 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1679c+$4.254
About this page

A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.