Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ff89b8166a83cd74a1ab5fee348a32d22306188dba9d206cc8998b57f7f86bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,682,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,682,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 68,170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.17 | 129 | 0.8%1 W · 128 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +675.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…b022backed Yes | 0c | 56,693$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…36e6backed Yes | 0c | 56,662$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854b…633abacked Yes | 0c | 56,623$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x393e…94debacked Yes | 0c | 56,574$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x925d…cf25backed Yes | 0c | 56,574$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a13…85d7backed Yes | 0c | 56,513$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef79…e63cbacked Yes | 0c | 56,437$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…13e3backed Yes | 0c | 56,367$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…dc84backed Yes | 0c | 56,336$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4a…326cbacked Yes | 0c | 56,267$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…db84backed Yes | 0c | 56,209$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb330…f93ebacked Yes | 0c | 56,152$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7af…5f84backed Yes | 0c | 56,102$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd330…e664backed Yes | 0c | 56,102$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…caafbacked Yes | 0c | 56,102$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc948…7ac8backed Yes | 0c | 56,095$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…5fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 56,088$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…0880backed Yes | 0c | 56,088$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f97…75a5backed Yes | 0c | 56,046$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddc…21d3backed Yes | 0c | 56,038$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…b301backed Yes | 0c | 55,996$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…2696backed Yes | 0c | 55,946$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd867…d21bbacked Yes | 0c | 55,946$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc796…9c99backed Yes | 0c | 55,946$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…7629backed Yes | 0c | 55,946$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907e…d6fcbacked Yes | 0c | 55,946$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff3b…2df9backed Yes | 0c | 55,946$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585d…bba2backed Yes | 0c | 55,846$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…c597backed Yes | 0c | 55,827$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be4…65f8backed Yes | 0c | 55,746$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b54…d0f8backed Yes | 0c | 55,646$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bc…dac0backed Yes | 0c | 55,566$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…ed53backed Yes | 0c | 55,566$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f1…9808backed Yes | 0c | 55,566$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…a174backed Yes | 0c | 55,546$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa2…c241backed Yes | 0c | 55,546$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa757…1012backed Yes | 0c | 55,466$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x475a…6835backed Yes | 0c | 55,267$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdc…f6d1backed Yes | 0c | 55,267$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6d…6521backed Yes | 0c | 55,267$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…b48fbacked Yes | 0c | 55,197$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2871…9985backed Yes | 0c | 55,102$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…1148backed Yes | 0c | 54,677$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1625…85afbacked Yes | 0c | 54,466$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ec…d786backed Yes | 0c | 54,446$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55c5…e1b8backed Yes | 0c | 54,446$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1771…da42backed Yes | 0c | 54,416$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4450…6786backed Yes | 0c | 54,347$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…6f61backed Yes | 0c | 54,296$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e5…8936backed Yes | 0c | 53,593$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa59c…f5a7backed Yes | 0c | 53,523$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…cffdbacked Yes | 0c | 53,512$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9652…aadfbacked Yes | 0c | 53,496$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc4…d884backed Yes | 0c | 53,413$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…b370backed Yes | 0c | 53,337$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3806…3423backed Yes | 0c | 53,236$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x858c…1387backed Yes | 0c | 53,059$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x803e…d4fdbacked Yes | 0c | 53,002$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ef…7150backed Yes | 0c | 53,002$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec7…040ebacked Yes | 0c | 52,995$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x111b…4009backed Yes | 0c | 52,988$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…75a1backed Yes | 0c | 52,952$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fde…f93cbacked Yes | 0c | 52,952$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…58d8backed Yes | 0c | 52,938$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…fea6backed Yes | 0c | 52,938$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6c…6dd5backed Yes | 0c | 52,896$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaee…16c2backed Yes | 0c | 52,896$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4624…0f9abacked Yes | 0c | 52,846$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd20e…7f56backed Yes | 0c | 52,846$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3523…f8aabacked Yes | 0c | 52,846$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ce…1b45backed Yes | 0c | 52,846$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bef…186bbacked Yes | 0c | 52,846$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33cd…0920backed Yes | 0c | 52,846$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…1cfcbacked Yes | 0c | 52,846$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…5919backed Yes | 0c | 52,746$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a4…a8c0backed Yes | 0c | 52,646$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d64…c780backed Yes | 0c | 49,802$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba9a…776fbacked Yes | 0c | 49,785$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…9bddbacked Yes | 0c | 49,778$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…d25bbacked Yes | 0c | 49,757$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8501…9183backed Yes | 0c | 49,757$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf36…10fabacked Yes | 0c | 49,748$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…2dddbacked Yes | 0c | 49,537$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11b4…a7cebacked Yes | 0c | 48,678$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…c05bbacked Yes | 0c | 48,657$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…bb5abacked Yes | 0c | 48,657$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b33…c174backed Yes | 0c | 48,648$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6529…59bdbacked Yes | 0c | 48,437$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d9…edf7backed Yes | 0c | 47,496$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2694…3e4bbacked Yes | 0c | 47,463$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0343…7de1backed Yes | 0c | 47,363$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9e…30bcbacked Yes | 0c | 47,303$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f8…e029backed Yes | 0c | 47,281$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0752…00e3backed Yes | 0c | 47,229$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…3520backed Yes | 0c | 47,229$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…1172backed Yes | 0c | 47,135$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7098…7322backed Yes | 0c | 46,935$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2d…6f81backed Yes | 0c | 46,827$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedcd…0241backed Yes | 0c | 46,827$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.