Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fdb10f25f59567b60e1dc38f018d81a0d8ef8e1ada9e9b78dae86904dccbb39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,276,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,276,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b43…256ebacked Yes | 0c | 57,693$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5db…60eabacked Yes | 0c | 57,684$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…c911backed Yes | 0c | 57,461$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9a…410abacked Yes | 0c | 57,461$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1efd…1edebacked Yes | 0c | 57,287$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…3c93backed Yes | 0c | 57,248$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…490bbacked Yes | 0c | 57,204$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ee…08a7backed Yes | 0c | 57,199$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf016…74efbacked Yes | 0c | 56,713$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd2…b769backed Yes | 0c | 56,706$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f1…3768backed Yes | 0c | 56,697$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d98…68efbacked Yes | 0c | 56,693$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8a…6d68backed Yes | 0c | 56,693$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…d305backed Yes | 0c | 56,693$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a8…60a3backed Yes | 0c | 56,693$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…9973backed Yes | 0c | 56,590$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…273dbacked Yes | 0c | 56,584$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…fe3fbacked Yes | 0c | 56,361$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe19…cf01backed Yes | 0c | 56,169$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…a1ddbacked Yes | 0c | 56,148$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…13dbbacked Yes | 0c | 56,104$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca22…13b4backed Yes | 0c | 56,066$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8804…8f5bbacked Yes | 0c | 56,061$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1330…331abacked Yes | 0c | 56,001$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7c…6022backed Yes | 0c | 55,944$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…55c7backed Yes | 0c | 55,935$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02de…6469backed Yes | 0c | 55,848$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5f…4a3cbacked Yes | 0c | 55,753$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…5657backed Yes | 0c | 55,753$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ea…6e84backed Yes | 0c | 55,729$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9de…f3eebacked Yes | 0c | 55,724$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x798f…719ebacked Yes | 0c | 55,719$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf336…6f54backed Yes | 0c | 55,713$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa63b…3128backed Yes | 0c | 55,634$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…17eebacked Yes | 0c | 55,620$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eae…1fafbacked Yes | 0c | 55,606$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde65…460abacked Yes | 0c | 55,605$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x734b…2d4dbacked Yes | 0c | 55,597$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0e…a6febacked Yes | 0c | 55,593$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…ff4bbacked Yes | 0c | 55,593$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135a…1bccbacked Yes | 0c | 55,549$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…bd58backed Yes | 0c | 54,966$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f4…eaaabacked Yes | 0c | 54,961$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0459…5bdabacked Yes | 0c | 54,929$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d40…31d8backed Yes | 0c | 54,867$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3acb…dd5ebacked Yes | 0c | 54,867$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ce…341bbacked Yes | 0c | 54,867$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddf…bd12backed Yes | 0c | 54,867$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff42…e9a9backed Yes | 0c | 54,844$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x754e…ab57backed Yes | 0c | 54,835$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…4df9backed Yes | 0c | 54,800$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2d…de20backed Yes | 0c | 54,800$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ae…ee1ebacked Yes | 0c | 54,800$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…4ce3backed Yes | 0c | 54,748$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda43…e900backed Yes | 0c | 54,745$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce1…cc10backed Yes | 0c | 54,745$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910f…6a9bbacked Yes | 0c | 54,670$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e9…1cbbbacked Yes | 0c | 54,629$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042c…6f51backed Yes | 0c | 54,624$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x452e…040cbacked Yes | 0c | 54,607$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee5…40e4backed Yes | 0c | 54,579$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…7867backed Yes | 0c | 54,492$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa30d…741bbacked Yes | 0c | 54,407$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…df22backed Yes | 0c | 54,298$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…0129backed Yes | 0c | 54,254$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222e…7b0abacked Yes | 0c | 54,118$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf73…f43abacked Yes | 0c | 54,063$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc44…757dbacked Yes | 0c | 53,893$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a2…2020backed Yes | 0c | 53,793$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c69…1423backed Yes | 0c | 53,580$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb0…d489backed Yes | 0c | 53,580$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…94cdbacked Yes | 0c | 53,511$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3943…f4dabacked Yes | 0c | 53,511$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c94…8328backed Yes | 0c | 53,511$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…f7f4backed Yes | 0c | 53,492$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…e7c1backed Yes | 0c | 53,479$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…14b8backed Yes | 0c | 53,425$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e63…e38fbacked Yes | 0c | 53,159$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…f035backed Yes | 0c | 52,826$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…6c57backed Yes | 0c | 52,718$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…b8dfbacked Yes | 0c | 52,480$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…af4abacked Yes | 0c | 52,411$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd000…786abacked Yes | 0c | 52,302$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee1…6d16backed Yes | 0c | 52,252$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa20b…0a34backed Yes | 0c | 52,117$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…648fbacked Yes | 0c | 52,059$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…661cbacked Yes | 0c | 51,117$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf041…5187backed Yes | 0c | 50,949$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eae…5964backed Yes | 0c | 50,949$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…aafdbacked Yes | 0c | 50,117$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c9…0a27backed Yes | 0c | 49,849$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…d886backed Yes | 0c | 49,195$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2d…5398backed Yes | 0c | 34,651$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a3…9dc9backed Yes | 0c | 33,747$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…ed12backed Yes | 0c | 32,747$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4577…bad3backed Yes | 0c | 32,738$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf3…dab9backed Yes | 0c | 32,483$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 31,022$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 129 | 0.8%1 W · 128 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +675.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.