Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbefac6b04fc5afca7986d01810ccb1bf27c5fe42123fad66e3ff0966be306e4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,232,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $741,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,232,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc565…17aabacked Yes | 0c | 45,538$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed Yes | 0c | 39,997$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0594…e07cbacked Yes | 0c | 38,020$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 0c | 21,540$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 19,732$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…af26backed Yes | 1c | 18,831$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 138 | 17.4%24 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc6…43c4backed Yes | 0c | 17,995$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…9d92backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 4.8%2 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9f…19b7backed Yes | 1c | 14,839$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Yes | 6c | 14,788$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.58 | 212 | 13.2%28 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 2c | 13,824$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.69 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a27…93e8backed Yes | 0c | 13,355$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…a8aabacked Yes | 0c | 13,281$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 12,628$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 129 | 0.8%1 W · 128 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +675.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Yes | 0c | 12,380$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 47 | 0%0 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8303…d68bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,155$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…4628backed Yes | 1c | 10,787$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 1c | 10,103$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.49 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1169…d622backed Yes | 1c | 9,522$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.48 | 87 | 5.7%5 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed Yes | 1c | 9,032$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 380 | 10%38 W · 342 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 0c | 8,865$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 105 | 12.4%13 W · 92 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 1c | 8,451$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 686 | 15.7%108 W · 578 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 7,999$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…4622backed Yes | 0c | 7,731$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked Yes | 0c | 7,326$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 562 | 8.9%50 W · 512 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…662fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…5f2abacked Yes | 0c | 6,552$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 1cpaid | +4,116.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 0c | 6,322$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 559 | 8.2%46 W · 513 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,320$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 262 | 11.1%29 W · 233 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a2…200bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,310$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes | 3c | 6,002$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.96 | 509 | 13.8%70 W · 439 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf45…24e5backed Yes | 0c | 5,508$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09dc…e583backed Yes | 2c | 5,369$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,251$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 730 | 4.5%33 W · 697 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe97f…413abacked Yes | 0c | 5,156$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e99…72a0backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 145 | 7.6%11 W · 134 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…79f1backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…42f7backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes | 0c | 4,718$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 504 | 5.2%26 W · 478 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…e90ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,659$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes | 4c | 4,655$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.66 | 601 | 27.3%164 W · 437 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 4c | 4,362$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.29 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Yes | 0c | 4,277$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 102 | 7.8%8 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…8775backed Yes | 1c | 3,870$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2f…05efbacked Yes | 0c | 3,609$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9447…91f2backed Yes | 1c | 3,529$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…e619backed Yes | 1c | 3,473$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 3,432$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 328 | 1.2%4 W · 324 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 3,338$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 691 | 5.5%38 W · 653 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 6c | 3,327$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.12 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2094…16d0backed Yes | 1c | 3,267$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 1c | 3,238$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…97a6backed Yes | 1c | 3,148$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +229.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf607…7ca0backed Yes | 0c | 3,128$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -77%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb3…8c5ebacked Yes | 0c | 2,982$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…6b54backed Yes | 1c | 2,961$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 2,663$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…b2b3backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 2%1 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…36ebbacked Yes | 1c | 2,289$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c34…8f4abacked Yes | 3c | 2,206$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 3c | 2,097$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 398 | 6.8%27 W · 371 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…da09backed Yes | 0c | 2,018$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4806…d870backed Yes | 1c | 1,922$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes | 1c | 1,921$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…90a8backed Yes | 1c | 1,752$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…7599backed Yes | 2c | 1,678$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 230 | 17%39 W · 191 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes | 3c | 1,594$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 326 | 7.1%23 W · 303 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes | 2c | 1,464$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 218 | 18.3%40 W · 178 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 3c | 1,080$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…8da6backed Yes | 3c | 1,033$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ad…c78fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7a…4aa5backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 6.6%5 W · 71 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b86…cc44backed Yes | 1c | 917.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 3cpaid | +428.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…15aebacked Yes | 2c | 866.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…b296backed Yes | 5c | 789.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 360 | 18.9%68 W · 292 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…9aebbacked Yes | 3c | 745.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 241 | 14.1%34 W · 207 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 2c | 714.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa932…79a6backed Yes | 2c | 699.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe380…70e2backed Yes | 3c | 639.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed Yes | 2c | 611.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 264 | 11.4%30 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 4c | 520$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 303 | 17.2%52 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa932…c76ebacked Yes | 3c | 441.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 134 | 17.9%24 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86d…ada3backed Yes | 6c | 397.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f73…dbfbbacked Yes | 5c | 378.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc305…d01dbacked Yes | 3c | 362.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d4…0e8bbacked Yes | 6c | 330.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d56…62d2backed Yes | 6c | 277.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe77…1449backed Yes | 6c | 261.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…3eccbacked Yes | 6c | 200.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.