TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa932…c76e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
191
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst Tweets at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT13417.9%24 W · 110 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 134 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+237.8%+$31.27
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+138.7%+$29.12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$21.02
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.46
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.49
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.97
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+1,453.3%+$296.47
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+404.7%+$283.69
Showing 25 of 134 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT5265.4%34 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$8.5
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.7
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.29
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.54
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.33
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.75
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.21
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.57
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$15.53
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$21.36
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+156.4%+$40.56
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+155.6%+$94.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.36
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.