Movies · resolved market
Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 18.5m and 20m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95567491e2fe05d0644ee3bb605ad2744c863868bf4e28598a4f1f7fad550906
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 77c | 2,583$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.16 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | +21.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 13c | 1,215$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.45 | 91 | 25.3%23 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes | 79c | 774.67$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.08 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 29c | 652.18$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.51 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…212dbacked Yes | 35c | 566.92$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf697…c72cbacked Yes | 37c | 533.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.36 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Yes | 59c | 515.48$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 23c | 507.57$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.44 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7056…c95cbacked Yes | 32c | 495.35$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.14 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 9c | 484.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 74c | 416.64$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 23c | 391.77$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 112 | 36.6%41 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 37c | 369.77$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.38 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 17c | 351.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 131 | 23.7%31 W · 100 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 36c | 324.2$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 248 | 21.8%54 W · 194 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 23c | 320$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 14c | 320$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.8 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 79c | 295.97$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.87 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 31c | 287$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 46c | 257.45$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.14 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.98 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 57c | 203.72$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 120 | 30.8%37 W · 83 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 80c | 190$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 330 | 39.1%129 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 19c | 186.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 22c | 186.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4467…cbfcbacked Yes | 79c | 181.6$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…07a3backed Yes | 28c | 162.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.37 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 24c | 146.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 55c | 127.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 885 | 33.6%297 W · 588 L | -76.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 39c | 125$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 39c | 123.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 45c | 113.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Yes | 58c | 113$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 480 | 28.5%137 W · 343 L | -33.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9842…5ac8backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…cec8backed Yes | 78c | 98.31$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 57c | 87.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 203 | 34%69 W · 134 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 40c | 85.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed No | 39c | 85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 147 | 25.2%37 W · 110 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…a665backed No | 32c | 85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…e801backed Yes | 75c | 66.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…b1debacked Yes | 53c | 58.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39ca…7605backed Yes | 79c | 51.65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 75c | 49.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 59c | 47.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 27c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1,415 | 8%113 W · 1,302 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…ca89backed Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 43c | 39.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 1,223 | 17.8%218 W · 1,005 L | -125.3wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked Yes | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 50c | 37.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 60c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…dde4backed Yes | 78c | 25.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef0…e28ebacked Yes | 51c | 20.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa937…4152backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 71cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cd…d931backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…385bbacked Yes | 80c | 19.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +306.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 61c | 17.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 18.5m and 20m?this page
- Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be at least 21.5m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 18.5m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 21.5m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.