Mls · resolved market
San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2dc3ccd122a508505df1c604d1f8aef83add63ba9f302a08fca2a7790718127
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 31c | 2,408$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.74 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 66c | 993.75$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.88 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 34c | 868.21$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.7 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 66c | 865.79$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.37 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 34c | 729.3$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.96 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 34c | 655.5$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.87 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 74c | 650.46$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.33 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c1…ab15backed Yes | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 66c | 507$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.1 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…0c31backed No | 22c | 351.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 78c | 325.71$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1d…2dd6backed Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 70c | 285$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 70c | 285$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 67c | 238.79$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 28c | 230$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 27c | 157$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 33c | 153.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 34c | 149.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 34c | 135$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 70c | 113$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 27c | 88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 70c | 82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 22c | 75.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 70c | 73.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +13.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed No | 33c | 59.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…bdb5backed Yes | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 53.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 70c | 50.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 71c | 46.18$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 70c | 26.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 65c | 21.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 5.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: San Jose Earthquakes 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: San Jose Earthquakes O/U 0.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: San Jose Earthquakes O/U 1.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: San Jose Earthquakes O/U 2.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: St. Louis City SC O/U 0.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: St. Louis City SC O/U 1.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: St. Louis City SC O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)St. Louis City SC won
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)St. Louis City SC won
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-1.5)St. Louis City SC won
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-2.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.