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Fifa International · resolved market

Jude Bellingham: 3+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,441
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,478

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,441 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes44c600$264 inWon+$3369745.4%44 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed No56c600$336 inLost-$33637350.1%187 W · 186 L+45.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No58c557.6$323 inLost-$323.4119148.2%92 W · 99 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No57c478.67$273 inLost-$272.8434357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x124b…bd60backed Yes36c253.9$92 inWon+$161.799078.9%71 W · 19 L+18.9wins+0.21per pick58cpaid+53.9%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x9899…5d02backed Yes42c240$101 inWon+$139.23444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes42c217.65$91 inWon+$126.28,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeece…ee6fbacked Yes43c206.98$89 inWon+$117.982560%15 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+42.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc4dd…39e4backed No62c160.08$100 inLost-$1005042%21 W · 29 L-6.8wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-27.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x477e…23b3backed Yes37c140$52 inWon+$88.212058.3%70 W · 50 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2890…49ebbacked Yes42c119.05$50 inWon+$69.051735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Yes43c70$30 inWon+$4041339%161 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b0e…e8fabacked Yes43c55.63$24 inWon+$31.462552%13 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94ec…1a4bbacked No58c39.87$23 inLost-$23.126366.7%42 W · 21 L+12.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+52.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No56c36.02$20 inLost-$20.171,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fc6…97b7backed Yes43c35$15 inWon+$19.953158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked No64c29.07$18 inLost-$18.4613956.8%79 W · 60 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71db…1700backed No50c25$13 inLost-$12.51233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+156.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes42c24.4$10 inWon+$14.1551228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.