Fifa International · resolved market
Will Canada finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaef6fc8fcb0c4693efc7d8d7e2327140645161079e1d7759786ac9bbc38b57d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 57c | 23,124$13,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,180.01 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7923…6c0bbacked Yes | 43c | 21,366$9,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,191.24 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Yes | 34c | 2,249$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.73 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5352…32a8backed Yes | 43c | 2,173$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…ee7abacked No | 58c | 530$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.4 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…b171backed No | 60c | 417.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.47 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 32c | 342.67$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.52 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f2…296cbacked Yes | 43c | 226$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 56c | 200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 59c | 186$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.74 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 24c | 170.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 50c | 139.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.92 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 58c | 131.7$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.07 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 59c | 121$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ba…b501backed Yes | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…5aa5backed Yes | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…0e12backed Yes | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 37c | 116.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.58 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16b…d420backed Yes | 43c | 115$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 42cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…982cbacked Yes | 40c | 109.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed Yes | 76c | 95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 40c | 82.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 27c | 77.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 40c | 75.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 39c | 75.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 59c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 56c | 75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 55c | 72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 29c | 71.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 65c | 70.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 59c | 60.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked No | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 69c | 54.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2925…d732backed Yes | 31c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3e…de30backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6574…3230backed Yes | 46c | 40.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe313…f974backed Yes | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc977…dcb3backed Yes | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes | 34c | 33.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 43c | 32.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…362cbacked Yes | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 38c | 30.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 44c | 28.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…3fe8backed Yes | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0b…17b5backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 57c | 24.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 74c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…c411backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…4256backed No | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…1e17backed No | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Canada finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?this page
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Qatar finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Switzerland finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.