TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5729…9cfb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 51.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT5547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$79.26
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$38.67
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$45.8
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$43.33
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)backed Uzbekistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$146.67
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.41
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.07
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.22
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$24.7
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$49.03
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+141.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$91.11
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$235.71
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.