TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb702…afff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Lightning vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Red Wings vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$531.98
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$126
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$514.49
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$109.99
Panthers vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Kings vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Flames vs. Rangersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+34.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$96
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$22.1
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$66
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$152
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+117.4%+$108
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Providence Friars vs. Butler Bulldogsbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$46.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.