TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe9a5…ba93

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$121.43
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Bbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.58
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49.96
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$49.61
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$27.54
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.71
LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffsbacked The Bandits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$56.03
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.86
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffsbacked Once Upon A Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.48
LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.89
LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - LFL Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffsbacked Ozarox Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.91
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.67
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.37
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$84.38
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$55.12
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$37.69
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$287.51
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.71
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.96
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$72.24
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$56.92
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.22
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.19
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$26.67
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
All 4 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.