TailMyPicks
Market

MLB · resolved market

Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chicago White Soxof Texas Rangers, Chicago White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,197
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,943

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,197 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x684b…8409backed Texas Rangers51c15,006$7,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,653.1127253.7%146 W · 126 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Texas Rangers6c7,861$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.822,31052.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Texas Rangers1c7,255$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6814546.2%67 W · 78 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Texas Rangers1c6,677$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.099949.5%49 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Texas Rangers51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,06050152.5%263 W · 238 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Chicago White Sox49c5,652$2,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.3899149.9%495 W · 496 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers14c4,966$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.288,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox48c4,235$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,191.766,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Chicago White Sox49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.6335643.5%155 W · 201 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Texas Rangers15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010237.3%38 W · 64 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Chicago White Sox49c3,087$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.366744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Texas Rangers5c3,082$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7797044.9%436 W · 534 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Texas Rangers51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,68150.1%842 W · 839 L-22.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Texas Rangers52c2,864$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.11,38650.6%702 W · 684 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Chicago White Sox49c2,800$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.671,63549.3%806 W · 829 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers50c2,791$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.585,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Texas Rangers50c2,471$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.734,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers5c2,071$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7910,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Texas Rangers52c2,029$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.082,37547.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Chicago White Sox50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00090053.6%482 W · 418 L+24.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox51c1,860$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.4711,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Texas Rangers5c1,855$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9927446.7%128 W · 146 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea1b…ec19backed Texas Rangers53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7952152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Texas Rangers4c1,499$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9438133.6%128 W · 253 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Texas Rangers2c1,412$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0714924.2%36 W · 113 L-0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago White Sox49c1,306$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.061,40848.8%687 W · 721 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b0e…0517backed Chicago White Sox49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.28453.6%45 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers3c1,007$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.148,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9707…e3bcbacked Chicago White Sox48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5202657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Texas Rangers52c999$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.481,35850.8%690 W · 668 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Texas Rangers6c939.36$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.182,04439.5%808 W · 1,236 L-24.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Texas Rangers51c838$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.3871253.4%380 W · 332 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Texas Rangers9c836.52$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2512,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Texas Rangers52c805$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.657753.2%307 W · 270 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe963…6753backed Texas Rangers50c783.19$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.67042.9%30 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Chicago White Sox49c758.39$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.781,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0742…1b48backed Texas Rangers51c758.39$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Chicago White Sox49c750$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.512647.6%60 W · 66 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Chicago White Sox49c749.99$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.530652%159 W · 147 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed02…85f7backed Texas Rangers3c711.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-72.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Texas Rangers4c677.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.714129.8%42 W · 99 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers51c675.46$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.483,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago White Sox55c635.99$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.8982042.6%349 W · 471 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Texas Rangers52c615.38$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201,20149.1%590 W · 611 L+20.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Chicago White Sox48c508.12$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.2467152.5%352 W · 319 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3814…17bcbacked Chicago White Sox50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2504753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Texas Rangers25c464.77$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.491,17643.8%515 W · 661 L-33.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago White Sox76c434.74$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.381,52059.1%899 W · 621 L+78.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Chicago White Sox49c408$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.081,14146.3%528 W · 613 L+36.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Texas Rangers52c399.98$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.614,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a21…4aa9backed Texas Rangers51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015252%79 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e55…a332backed Chicago White Sox49c375$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.257953.2%42 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b3…33efbacked Texas Rangers31c336.08$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1048460.7%51 W · 33 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Chicago White Sox48c316.57$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.4596553%511 W · 454 L+18.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Chicago White Sox50c255.05$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.631,79750.4%906 W · 891 L-1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Texas Rangers50c246.8$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.41,24058.1%721 W · 519 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Texas Rangers50c243.71$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8650856.9%289 W · 219 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Texas Rangers51c243.45$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1632552.9%172 W · 153 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e0…4983backed Texas Rangers5c239.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1116543%71 W · 94 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Texas Rangers52c227.24$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.172,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed Chicago White Sox50c205$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.551646.9%242 W · 274 L-21.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2470…dc4dbacked Chicago White Sox49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.085554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Texas Rangers24c202.75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9732434.6%112 W · 212 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Chicago White Sox50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016246.3%75 W · 87 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Chicago White Sox48c197.18$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5352347.2%247 W · 276 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Texas Rangers51c196.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017752.5%93 W · 84 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Chicago White Sox47c160$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.81,41843.4%616 W · 802 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Chicago White Sox47c139.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.21,32644%583 W · 743 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Chicago White Sox49c135$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8575453.2%401 W · 353 L+23.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Texas Rangers11c132.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.771,15342.8%494 W · 659 L-37.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Chicago White Sox47c130$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.91,22143.4%530 W · 691 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Texas Rangers50c128.32$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1643757%249 W · 188 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29de…d9e6backed Texas Rangers50c128.32$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1658358.5%341 W · 242 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed Chicago White Sox49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.21631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-48.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Chicago White Sox49c117$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6733649.1%165 W · 171 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Texas Rangers32c115.48$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1762049.2%305 W · 315 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15f4…958ebacked Texas Rangers52c112.42$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.46757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12df…32fcbacked Texas Rangers51c112.35$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.31450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Chicago White Sox48c104.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.939049%191 W · 199 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94eb…fcdfbacked Chicago White Sox49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.047545.3%34 W · 41 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Chicago White Sox49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5113447%63 W · 71 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Chicago White Sox49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5155146.8%258 W · 293 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6865…6033backed Texas Rangers47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.453357.6%19 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Texas Rangers18c99.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9588656.4%500 W · 386 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Texas Rangers50c98.63$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.41,02658.1%596 W · 430 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9207…d26ebacked Texas Rangers53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022365.5%146 W · 77 L+16.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9e7…af6bbacked Chicago White Sox49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.945651.1%233 W · 223 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Chicago White Sox47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.41,29343.5%562 W · 731 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41cf…8268backed Texas Rangers51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013059.2%77 W · 53 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0a6…2a95backed Texas Rangers51c56.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Chicago White Sox53c56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3289548.3%432 W · 463 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Texas Rangers52c51.23$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6437951.7%196 W · 183 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed Chicago White Sox49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.02955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Chicago White Sox48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262,41349.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L+22.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Chicago White Sox49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.583854.7%458 W · 380 L+29.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x725d…095abacked Texas Rangers51c49.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8cf…6b0bbacked Texas Rangers53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Chicago White Sox49c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9557244.6%255 W · 317 L-35.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d40…ba95backed Texas Rangers30c44.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+42.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Chicago White Sox49c42.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4610148.5%49 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.