MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbed47c98ad86f5ddb59c5b2c297559ce1c3601a31aa8820eeab91e34c154524
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof Arizona Diamondbacks, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,455,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,476,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,455,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 415 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 2,687,705$1,394,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394,879.19 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 902,314$430,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472,018.05 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 656,495$311,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345,376.06 | 908 | 46.5%422 W · 486 L | +27.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 281,275$135,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,592.34 | 11,102 | 51.5%5,715 W · 5,387 L | +135.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 148,735$66,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,804.35 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 93,983$46,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,929.68 | 11,653 | 52.8%6,157 W · 5,496 L | +214.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 75,490$37,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,380.05 | 3,139 | 48.2%1,514 W · 1,625 L | -10.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 61,837$28,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,441.22 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 60,000$34,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,000 | 1,159 | 49.3%571 W · 588 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…25a1backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 54,935$23,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,391.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 45,212$24,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,357.22 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…de2abacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 45,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 37,736$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 254 | 45.3%115 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 35,959$20,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,689.66 | 8,304 | 46.2%3,840 W · 4,464 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 34,041$17,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,079.13 | 4,427 | 47.5%2,101 W · 2,326 L | -77.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 33,333$19,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,333.19 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +11.2wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 32,396$15,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,845.84 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 28,689$14,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,631.62 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 24,075$12,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,324.52 | 174 | 42%73 W · 101 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 22,996$11,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,847.45 | 1,449 | 49.5%717 W · 732 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 22,559$10,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,809.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 20,722$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.18 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…d049backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 281 | 54.1%152 W · 129 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 19,041$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…ab5abacked San Francisco Giants | 76c | 18,400$13,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,416 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 17,325$9,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,067.48 | 986 | 45%444 W · 542 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 15,375$7,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,925.61 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…3269backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 15,369$7,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,145.52 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…aa04backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 14,617$6,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,810.69 | 3,562 | 51%1,817 W · 1,745 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 14,073$7,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,614.54 | 450 | 55.1%248 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 13,464$5,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,508.96 | 4,445 | 45%2,001 W · 2,444 L | +87.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a86…4998backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 13,313$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 11,588$5,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,909.82 | 181 | 53%96 W · 85 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 10,000$5,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,020 | 510 | 52.5%268 W · 242 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 5,567 | 50.5%2,812 W · 2,755 L | +25.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.97 | 548 | 51.3%281 W · 267 L | +24.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 9,652$5,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,272.76 | 4,120 | 57.6%2,375 W · 1,745 L | +67.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 26c | 9,615$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 992 | 49.9%495 W · 497 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…728fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 15c | 9,326$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.86 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 9,048$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,247.62 | 633 | 52.8%334 W · 299 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 8,907$4,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,809.77 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked San Francisco Giants | 64c | 8,753$5,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,188.06 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 8,729$4,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,454.81 | 1,478 | 51%754 W · 724 L | -19.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 8,636$4,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,017.46 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 8,204$4,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,145.36 | 1,877 | 50.2%943 W · 934 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked San Francisco Giants | 60c | 7,503$4,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,001.83 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825 | 1,310 | 50.2%658 W · 652 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 7,500$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,224.99 | 50 | 74%37 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 6,655$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,793.35 | 1,738 | 50.4%876 W · 862 L | +57.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 6,378$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.83 | 8,682 | 52.6%4,563 W · 4,119 L | +505.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 6,285$3,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,268 | 6,132 | 55.4%3,395 W · 2,737 L | +346.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 6,000$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 5,883$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620.49 | 2,077 | 39.3%817 W · 1,260 L | -27.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 5,147$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 4,999$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.85 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 4,800$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,409.6 | 392 | 34.2%134 W · 258 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 4,308$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.39 | 8,484 | 47.9%4,062 W · 4,422 L | +79.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x554d…eb95backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 4,100$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 3,909$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.74 | 172 | 54.1%93 W · 79 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 3,892$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.59 | 934 | 46%430 W · 504 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 3,636$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.63 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 3,519$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.83 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b08…02abbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1,698 | 50.2%853 W · 845 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 2,998$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.75 | 803 | 55.7%447 W · 356 L | +22.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 2,948$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.1 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf67…1db4backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked San Francisco Giants | 72c | 2,602$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.42 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 2,600$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352 | 483 | 48.4%234 W · 249 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 2,543$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.3 | 378 | 56.9%215 W · 163 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe582…7fd5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 2,373$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.34 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,235$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.09 | 4,534 | 49%2,220 W · 2,314 L | -41.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 2,153$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.56 | 1,420 | 48.9%694 W · 726 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.81 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 2,004$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 464 | 51.1%237 W · 227 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 1,984$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.41 | 633 | 47.1%298 W · 335 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 1,819$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.54 | 581 | 39.4%229 W · 352 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…21b4backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 1,785$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb727…2a9dbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,754$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.67 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,742$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.29 | 258 | 52.7%136 W · 122 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…8fd4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,719$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 503 | 51.9%261 W · 242 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked San Francisco Giants | 61c | 1,439$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.41 | 2,175 | 51.5%1,121 W · 1,054 L | +54.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,394$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.16 | 7,078 | 50.5%3,576 W · 3,502 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4858…3dd3backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,333$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.54 | 2,327 | 51.1%1,188 W · 1,139 L | +26.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 1,329$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.06 | 2,153 | 50.2%1,080 W · 1,073 L | +27.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,324$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.49 | 1,019 | 44.7%455 W · 564 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f8…316dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 14c | 1,278$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,210$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.2 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed San Francisco Giants | 66c | 1,169$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.7 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed02…85f7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,123$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.8 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 43cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco GiantsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.