MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x397d306788138d7c32e10e9b51326e831a703e15c8233295f01ae55dbc91d68a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Boston Red Sox, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $352,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $317,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $352,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 37,493$15,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,970.79 | 281 | 54.1%152 W · 129 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 36,983$16,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,340.84 | 1,449 | 49.5%717 W · 732 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 35,714$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…ef90backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 28,983$17,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,100 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 28,302$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 254 | 45.3%115 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd5…a179backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 20,022$11,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,011.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 19c | 14,214$2,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.01 | 11,653 | 52.8%6,157 W · 5,496 L | +214.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 13,238$7,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,647.53 | 992 | 49.9%495 W · 497 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 11,483$7,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,089 | 4,427 | 47.5%2,101 W · 2,326 L | -77.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 24c | 10,087$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.72 | 8,304 | 46.2%3,840 W · 4,464 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…0eaebacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 10,000$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,750 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.94 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Miami Marlins | 77c | 7,975$6,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.27 | 4,120 | 57.6%2,375 W · 1,745 L | +67.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 6,853$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.26 | 5,567 | 50.5%2,812 W · 2,755 L | +25.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 6,479$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.59 | 634 | 43.5%276 W · 358 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Boston Red Sox | 20c | 6,349$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.71 | 986 | 45%444 W · 542 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 6,105$3,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,001.3 | 11,102 | 51.5%5,715 W · 5,387 L | +135.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 68c | 6,034$4,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.19 | 3,139 | 48.2%1,514 W · 1,625 L | -10.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 6,000$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,339.97 | 284 | 51.4%146 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 5,310$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.44 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 5,196$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.75 | 3,562 | 51%1,817 W · 1,745 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 4,984$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.04 | 1,088 | 48.3%525 W · 563 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 4,042$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.84 | 594 | 52.9%314 W · 280 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 1,698 | 50.2%853 W · 845 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Boston Red Sox | 32c | 3,310$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.98 | 2,077 | 39.3%817 W · 1,260 L | -27.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Boston Red Sox | 35c | 3,147$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.23 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…c9a7backed Boston Red Sox | 32c | 3,022$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.19 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 2,754$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Boston Red Sox | 64c | 2,698$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.76 | 1,894 | 52.9%1,001 W · 893 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Boston Red Sox | 5c | 2,649$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.47 | 908 | 46.5%422 W · 486 L | +27.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 72c | 2,554$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.84 | 8,682 | 52.6%4,563 W · 4,119 L | +505.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 2,120$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.84 | 7,078 | 50.5%3,576 W · 3,502 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 2,114$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.18 | 374 | 49.2%184 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 2,111$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,964$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.2 | 1,478 | 51%754 W · 724 L | -19.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 1,960$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.03 | 8,484 | 47.9%4,062 W · 4,422 L | +79.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,959$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.04 | 720 | 53.3%384 W · 336 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Boston Red Sox | 34c | 1,905$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.48 | 1,019 | 44.7%455 W · 564 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…95dcbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,818$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…1fbebacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Boston Red Sox | 26c | 1,665$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.48 | 1,906 | 49.3%940 W · 966 L | +25.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,614$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.17 | 934 | 46%430 W · 504 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,403$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.83 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Boston Red Sox | 28c | 1,265$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.63 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,112$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.6 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,013$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.08 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…e3bcbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 330 | 48.2%159 W · 171 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…5da8backed Boston Red Sox | 18c | 999.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 967.93$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.98 | 159 | 43.4%69 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Boston Red Sox | 23c | 965.72$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.12 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 961$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.16 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 930.35$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.69 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 903.8$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.52 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 888$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.04 | 881 | 52.9%466 W · 415 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…e4f6backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 827.73$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.53 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 811.16$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.36 | 4,534 | 49%2,220 W · 2,314 L | -41.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Boston Red Sox | 26c | 806.81$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.04 | 174 | 42%73 W · 101 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 799.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 163 | 42.3%69 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 797.65$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.23 | 1,877 | 50.2%943 W · 934 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 780$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.8 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Boston Red Sox | 16c | 750$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 952 | 34.3%327 W · 625 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…cd50backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 747.8$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Miami Marlins | 77c | 666.77$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.78 | 533 | 57.6%307 W · 226 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 263 | 52.1%137 W · 126 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 620.5$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.48 | 2,372 | 49.7%1,179 W · 1,193 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafef…f50ebacked Boston Red Sox | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 600$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.77 | 392 | 34.2%134 W · 258 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Boston Red Sox | 33c | 599.97$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc08…5acdbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 588.21$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 587.7$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.11 | 360 | 52.2%188 W · 172 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 555.55$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.11 | 397 | 56.4%224 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 536.62$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.4 | 1,697 | 49.1%834 W · 863 L | +3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 505.93$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.24 | 760 | 44.5%338 W · 422 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8b…5e36backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…b7c1backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 499.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Miami Marlins | 77c | 499.98$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.5 | 1,939 | 44.5%862 W · 1,077 L | -29.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…b081backed Boston Red Sox | 22c | 499.95$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 456.14$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.44 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 243 | 54.7%133 W · 110 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Boston Red Sox | 26c | 450$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 285 | 30.9%88 W · 197 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…6122backed Boston Red Sox | 10c | 440.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Miami Marlins | 79c | 428.87$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.28 | 1,049 | 58.4%613 W · 436 L | +21.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9237…9c99backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 419.09$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 411$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.16 | 458 | 53.7%246 W · 212 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…04a7backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 391.66$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 390$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 390$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Miami Marlins | 70c | 381.56$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 174 | 53.4%93 W · 81 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 381.07$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.4 | 1,543 | 51.1%789 W · 754 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,219 | 40.4%493 W · 726 L | -33.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 332 | 56.3%187 W · 145 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.