TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x71bf…a387

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst WNBA at 51.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$40.04
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$14.55
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.64
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$411.7
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$350.65
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$670
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$420
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$330
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$520.62
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$210.01
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$710
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$240
Thunder vs. Bullsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$183.33
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$430
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$295.71
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$580
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$240
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$509.17
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$39.71
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$25.49
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.73
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$35.2
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.44
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
All 7 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$19.26
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.57
All 4 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.