TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a31…9d80

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 51 out of 100; worst Cricket at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4717%8 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.19
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+193.5%+$67.74
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$13.85
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$73.62
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.48
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$41.73
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$47.4
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-80.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs UAE (Game 1)backed UAE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
T20 World Cup: Canada vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$22.01
T20 World Cup: England vs Italy (Game 1)backed Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$18
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs UAE (Game 1)backed UAE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$45.8
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$19
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs USA (Game 1)backed Namibia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs West Indies (Game 1)backed Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$43.4
T20 World Cup: England vs Scotland (Game 1)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$51.4
T20 World Cup: Ireland vs Oman (Game 1)backed Oman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
T20 World Cup: India vs Namibia (Game 1)backed Namibia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Nepal (Game 1)backed Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+113.4%+$24.96
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-48.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Women's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Italybacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Men's Group B - Italy vs. Slovakiabacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+53.3%+$44.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Salford City FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.