TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa22d…0ac3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Dota2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT3234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.57
Spread: Norway (-2.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.29
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.23
Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.29
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$23.5
United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Korea Republic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$39.11
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$25.83
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Uzbekistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.57
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.69
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.23
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-57.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Nuno Borgesbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Nottingham Open: Ann Li vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.26
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.01
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Nottingham 2: Remy Bertola vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.94
Grass Court Championships: Suzan Lamens vs Paula Badosabacked Suzan Lamens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Grass Court Championships: Clara Tauson vs Diane Parrybacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.02
Grass Court Championships: Magdalena Frech vs Eva Lysbacked Eva Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$37.29
Brescia: Darya Astakhova vs Noemi Basilettibacked Noemi Basiletti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.88
Grass Court Championships: Madison Keys vs Xinyu Wangbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.97
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+58.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$11.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$7.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.