TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc1ab…7e8e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2075%15 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.95
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.09
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$37.73
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$35.94
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.09
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.34
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$27.69
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.85
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.42
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.39
Grizzlies vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.62
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.54
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sarasota: Andres Andrade vs Stefan Dostanicbacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Hamad Medjedovic vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$27.69
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$22.2
BMW Open, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Diego Dedura-Palomerobacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.13
Sarasota: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Stefan Dostanicbacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.32
Monza: Stefano Travaglia vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.55
Madrid: Joel Schwaerzler vs Toby Samuelbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$10.27
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$28.71
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.42
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marin Cilicbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$30.86
Barletta: Marco Cecchinato vs Felix Gillbacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Barletta: Daniil Glinka vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Mikhail Kukushkin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Moez Echarguibacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.06
Naples: Daniel Altmaier vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Dubrovnik: Teodora Kostovic vs Alina Charaevabacked Teodora Kostovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Naples: Hamad Medjedovic vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.05
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.