Texas Senate Election Winner
Wallets last checked .
Us MidtermsSettled:
https://tailmypicks.com/e/texas-senate-election-winner
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: Yes won. Yes: 53 wallets, $318,108 · No: 17 wallets, $35,130 53 of 70 wallets backed the winner.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
- Result
- Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
- Staked
- What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
- Entry
- The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
- Held to the end
- What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| The pick on this market | Settled markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on. | ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled. | StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side. | EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents. | Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| 0x98d0…f14a#22 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $14,537 | 66c | +$7,558.32 | 65 |
| 0x40c2…b2fc#30 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $30 | 61c | +$19.7 | 64 |
| 0x6706…2341#43 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $18 | 44c | +$23.14 | 64 |
| 0xf440…b009#50 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $823 | 61c | +$526.19 | 63 |
| 0x4be5…c1b3#51 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $7,240 | 60c | +$4,760 | 63 |
| 0xb06c…b574#52 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $875 | 62c | +$533.14 | 63 |
| 0x23d8…0288#55 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $5,687 | 55c | +$4,660.62 | 63 |
| 0x007f…233a#59 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $19 | 33c | +$39.14 | 63 |
| 0x4e2d…4936#63 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $136 | 65c | +$73.72 | 63 |
| 0xa43d…00f4#65 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $27,800 | 70c | +$12,199.99 | 63 |
| 0x0af4…89b4#78 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $1,605 | 64c | +$895 | 62 |
| 0x7e35…1a6c#88 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $879 | 62c | +$549.33 | 62 |
| 0x0a53…7a6f#92 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $1,987 | 72c | +$784.85 | 62 |
| 0x9578…f066#106 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $12 | 39c | -$11.7 | 61 |
| 0x5207…686b#113 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $3,600 | 51c | +$3,400 | 61 |
| 0x83c5…e193#131 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $376 | 75c | +$124 | 60 |
| 0xb23e…829a#153 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $1,262 | 63c | +$738 | 60 |
| 0xf6c6…7d80#185 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $218 | 43c | +$286.57 | 59 |
| 0x378a…a638#240 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $150 | 40c | +$228.21 | 58 |
| 0x1c14…0869#285 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $5,229 | 52c | +$4,812.9 | 58 |
| 0x8e82…5fad#288 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $13 | 63c | +$7.4 | 58 |
| 0x6c2a…b7b5#642 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $112 | 65c | +$59.53 | 56 |
| 0x671a…2f1e#670 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $137 | 17c | -$136.8 | 55 |
| 0x4488…e319#743 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $150,941 | 75c | +$49,058.03 | 55 |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5#826 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $19 | 38c | -$19.17 | 55 |
| 0x43cb…84df#1,083 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $15 | 14c | -$15.2 | 54 |
| 0x2f26…0d8fNo place on the board tonight | No | lost (open this pick) | $1,086 | 20c | -$1,086.27 | 51 |
| Top 51 to 200 | ||||||
| 0xa45f…d6cb#8 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $936 | 66c | +$490.17 | 68 |
| 0xe3f2…e1c1#19 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $6,500 | 65c | +$3,500 | 66 |
| 0x88d7…5762#21 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $87 | 34c | +$168.28 | 66 |
| 0xa667…ceb3#89 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $3,810 | 65c | +$2,082.17 | 62 |
| 0xf107…b9ba#103 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $116 | 44c | +$148.79 | 61 |
| 0x1547…d066#118 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $3,340 | 70c | +$1,410 | 61 |
| 0x9b5a…fa77#126 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $1,075 | 50c | +$1,075 | 61 |
| 0x0d5e…5c24#149 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $57 | 63c | +$33.3 | 60 |
| 0x60a9…5a71#165 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $20,980 | 68c | +$9,672.62 | 60 |
| 0x6139…6b7a#192 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $361 | 35c | +$673.63 | 59 |
| 0xaacb…5aec#193 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $261 | 64c | +$144.23 | 59 |
| 0x6ca0…e59d#217 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $200 | 70c | +$86.6 | 59 |
| 0x414b…0d3f#230 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $7,170 | 65c | +$3,829.99 | 59 |
| 0xd8d5…8935#260 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $6,680 | 66c | +$3,443.68 | 58 |
| 0xa87f…864d#284 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $18 | 60c | +$12.05 | 58 |
| 0x42d6…7ea9#317 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $60 | 68c | +$28.38 | 57 |
| 0xfb59…83f9#327 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $2,168 | 62c | +$1,305.01 | 57 |
| 0x915d…5c6a#363 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $22 | 49c | +$23.13 | 57 |
| 0x7ed0…9c4f#478 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $67 | 67c | +$33 | 56 |
| 0xd428…6368#501 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $572 | 68c | +$268.25 | 56 |
| 0xc468…009d#580 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $34 | 67c | +$16.5 | 56 |
| 0xf9b5…1212#635 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $70 | 66c | +$35.57 | 56 |
| 0x1c62…ca89#719 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $50 | 65c | +$26.92 | 55 |
| 0xe040…824f#781 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $32 | 39c | -$32.26 | 55 |
| 0x2b08…8903#787 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $15 | 75c | +$5 | 55 |
| 0x7dcf…a7bd#810 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $68 | 59c | -$67.95 | 55 |
| 0x9b2f…d8f8#815 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $108 | 36c | -$108 | 55 |
| 0xb17d…59ae#874 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $128 | 64c | +$72 | 55 |
| 0xfe1a…6bcc#989 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $102 | 73c | +$37.8 | 54 |
| 0x614d…1546#1,099 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $38,150 | 64c | +$21,849.98 | 54 |
| 0x22db…190f#1,349 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $1,074 | 66c | +$559.23 | 54 |
| 0x132f…7cdc#1,438 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $11 | 65c | +$6.08 | 54 |
| 0x175e…eba0#2,571 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $41 | 73c | +$15.12 | 52 |
| 0x8373…f0bc#2,976 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $4,545 | 40c | -$4,545.4 | 52 |
| 0xe709…9d39#3,081 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $17 | 42c | -$16.8 | 52 |
| 0xd9fe…db0dNo place on the board tonight | No | lost (open this pick) | $534 | 39c | -$533.54 | 51 |
| 0x9d0d…2e6d#4,771 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $3,133 | 29c | -$3,133.05 | 51 |
| 0x7248…7e72#5,421 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $1,724 | 33c | -$1,724.09 | 51 |
| 0xae2a…384d#7,897 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $77 | 34c | -$77.27 | 50 |
| 0x27b5…9650#8,379 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $414 | 65c | +$222.15 | 50 |
| 0xeed8…35f0#11,503 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $14,406 | 35c | -$14,405.74 | 49 |
| 0x1387…55f8#12,846 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $6,023 | 27c | -$6,022.56 | 48 |
| 0x17b8…d5d1#16,325 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $3,195 | 21c | -$3,194.54 | 43 |
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: No won. Yes: 11 wallets, $5,027 · No: 51 wallets, $373,173 51 of 62 wallets backed the winner.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
- Result
- Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
- Staked
- What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
- Entry
- The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
- Held to the end
- What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| The pick on this market | Settled markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on. | ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled. | StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side. | EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents. | Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| 0x0547…fb35#10 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $197 | 79c | +$53.2 | 68 |
| 0x98d0…f14a#22 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $15,319 | 64c | +$8,700.76 | 65 |
| 0x40c2…b2fc#30 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $23 | 58c | +$16.7 | 64 |
| 0x6706…2341#43 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $30 | 44c | +$38.18 | 64 |
| 0xf440…b009#50 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $30,574 | 66c | +$15,507.63 | 63 |
| 0x4be5…c1b3#51 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $1,960 | 62c | +$1,190.5 | 63 |
| 0xb06c…b574#52 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $1,355 | 64c | +$762.22 | 63 |
| 0x007f…233a#59 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $35 | 33c | +$71.65 | 63 |
| 0x4e2d…4936#63 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $23 | 63c | +$13.32 | 63 |
| 0xa43d…00f4#65 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $5,600 | 56c | +$4,400 | 63 |
| 0x0af4…89b4#78 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $945 | 63c | +$555 | 62 |
| 0x7e35…1a6c#88 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $1,471 | 48c | +$1,593.8 | 62 |
| 0x0a53…7a6f#92 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $56 | 62c | +$34.2 | 62 |
| 0x9dd9…08bd#110 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $248 | 72c | -$248.4 | 61 |
| 0x86f0…610c#117 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $50 | 49c | +$51.85 | 61 |
| 0xf6c6…7d80#185 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $60 | 70c | +$25.71 | 59 |
| 0x2365…8eb9#264 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $51 | 3c | -$50.81 | 58 |
| 0x6c10…df5c#270 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $365 | 56c | -$365.35 | 58 |
| 0x1c14…0869#285 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $10,193 | 64c | +$5,622.52 | 58 |
| 0xc862…3fb2#329 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $20 | 55c | -$20 | 57 |
| 0x7597…5f01#483 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $60 | 70c | +$25.71 | 56 |
| 0x4488…e319#743 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $123,923 | 70c | +$52,848.94 | 55 |
| 0x54d6…ef35#786 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $38 | 64c | +$21.24 | 55 |
| 0xeed4…c1c2#796 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $1,131 | 39c | +$1,769.29 | 55 |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5#826 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $53 | 40c | -$52.88 | 55 |
| 0x6b25…7a69#1,870 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $12 | 25c | -$12.35 | 53 |
| 0xe8c4…395d#2,700 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $408 | 37c | -$407.74 | 52 |
| 0x2f26…0d8fNo place on the board tonight | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $2,383 | 38c | -$2,383.43 | 51 |
| Top 51 to 200 | ||||||
| 0xa45f…d6cb#8 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $1,401 | 66c | +$724.71 | 68 |
| 0xe3f2…e1c1#19 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $10,984 | 63c | +$6,514.68 | 66 |
| 0x88d7…5762#21 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $113 | 51c | +$111.09 | 66 |
| 0xa667…ceb3#89 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $3,382 | 62c | +$2,044.99 | 62 |
| 0xf107…b9ba#103 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $31 | 51c | +$29.4 | 61 |
| 0x1547…d066#118 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $1,215 | 59c | +$834.99 | 61 |
| 0x0d5e…5c24#149 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $120 | 49c | +$124.23 | 60 |
| 0x6139…6b7a#192 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $519 | 37c | +$879.24 | 59 |
| 0x414b…0d3f#230 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $4,707 | 63c | +$2,792.99 | 59 |
| 0xd8d5…8935#260 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $16,949 | 68c | +$8,105.3 | 58 |
| 0xa87f…864d#284 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $12 | 60c | +$8.25 | 58 |
| 0xfb59…83f9#327 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $7,000 | 67c | +$3,501.74 | 57 |
| 0x915d…5c6a#363 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $11 | 49c | +$11.02 | 57 |
| 0x3690…e16f#548 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $530 | 73c | +$199.69 | 56 |
| 0xf9b5…1212#635 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $161 | 64c | +$90.76 | 56 |
| 0xe040…824f#781 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $55 | 61c | +$34.8 | 55 |
| 0x80ed…ce26#794 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $126 | 63c | +$74 | 55 |
| 0x7dcf…a7bd#810 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $72 | 42c | +$99.45 | 55 |
| 0xb17d…59ae#874 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $192 | 64c | +$108 | 55 |
| 0x7726…4aee#963 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $8,628 | 59c | +$6,041.04 | 54 |
| 0xa278…3369#965 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $21 | 71c | +$8.7 | 54 |
| 0xec35…1d90#1,033 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $24 | 63c | +$14.15 | 54 |
| 0x614d…1546#1,099 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $64,551 | 65c | +$35,449.28 | 54 |
| 0x22db…190f#1,349 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $58 | 58c | -$58 | 54 |
| 0xa169…1b73#2,863 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $35 | 32c | -$35.26 | 52 |
| 0x8373…f0bc#2,976 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $6,750 | 59c | +$4,664.14 | 52 |
| 0xd9fe…db0dNo place on the board tonight | No | won (open this pick) | $1,489 | 61c | +$937.09 | 51 |
| 0x9d0d…2e6d#4,771 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $7,552 | 70c | +$3,255.78 | 51 |
| 0x7248…7e72#5,421 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $3,385 | 66c | +$1,775.7 | 51 |
| 0xa917…4e8d#5,748 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $260 | 63c | +$152.81 | 51 |
| 0xae2a…384d#7,897 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $45 | 63c | +$26.38 | 50 |
| 0xeed8…35f0#11,503 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $29,167 | 66c | +$15,124.46 | 49 |
| 0x1387…55f8#12,846 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $10,678 | 77c | +$3,100.79 | 48 |
| 0x17b8…d5d1#16,325 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $1,393 | 16c | -$1,392.56 | 43 |
Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 75% by November 2? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: Yes won. Yes: 3 wallets, $350 · No: 1 wallet, $44 3 of 4 wallets backed the winner.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
- Result
- Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
- Staked
- What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
- Entry
- The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
- Held to the end
- What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| The pick on this market | Settled markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on. | ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled. | StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side. | EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents. | Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| 0x1c14…0869#285 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $129 | 50c | +$128.38 | 58 |
| Top 51 to 200 | ||||||
| 0x9b5a…fa77#126 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $10 | 22c | +$34.72 | 61 |
| 0x04ac…6451#387 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $211 | 67c | +$101.83 | 57 |
| 0x4d02…2ad3#1,471 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $44 | 75c | -$44 | 53 |
Texas Senate favorite on November 2? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: Talarico won. Talarico: 2 wallets, $641 · Paxton: 2 wallets, $27 2 of 4 wallets backed the winner.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
- Result
- Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
- Staked
- What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
- Entry
- The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
- Held to the end
- What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| The pick on this market | Settled markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on. | ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled. | StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side. | EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents. | Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| 0x9578…f066#106 on the board | Talarico | won (open this pick) | $626 | 69c | +$285.05 | 61 |
| Top 51 to 200 | ||||||
| 0xf9b5…1212#635 on the board | Paxton | lost (open this pick) | $10 | 14c | -$10.23 | 56 |
| 0x38d8…ea7c#921 on the board | Paxton | lost (open this pick) | $17 | 34c | -$17 | 55 |
| 0x3008…3c76#986 on the board | Talarico | won (open this pick) | $15 | 75c | +$5 | 54 |
Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 70% by November 2? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: Yes won. Yes: 0 wallets, $0 · No: 3 wallets, $352 0 of 3 wallets backed the winner.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
- Result
- Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
- Staked
- What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
- Entry
- The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
- Held to the end
- What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| The pick on this market | Settled markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on. | ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled. | StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side. | EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents. | Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| 0xfd39…9ec8#306 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $323 | 64c | -$322.69 | 58 |
| 0x29ed…a8da#8,587 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $15 | 73c | -$14.6 | 49 |
| 0xeed8…35f0#11,503 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $15 | 73c | -$14.6 | 49 |
Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: No won. Yes: 2 wallets, $67 · No: 0 wallets, $0 0 of 2 wallets backed the winner.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
- Result
- Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
- Staked
- What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
- Entry
- The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
- Held to the end
- What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| The pick on this market | Settled markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on. | ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled. | StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side. | EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents. | Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| Top 51 to 200 | ||||||
| 0x38d8…ea7c#921 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $44 | 27c | -$44.31 | 55 |
| 0x6ddf…696e#5,877 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $23 | 45c | -$22.67 | 51 |
Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 80% by November 2? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: No won. Yes: 1 wallet, $33 · No: 1 wallet, $106 1 of 2 wallets backed the winner.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
- Result
- Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
- Staked
- What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
- Entry
- The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
- Held to the end
- What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| The pick on this market | Settled markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on. | ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled. | StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side. | EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents. | Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| Top 51 to 200 | ||||||
| 0x9b5a…fa77#126 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $33 | 12c | -$33 | 61 |
| 0xe53c…e569#474 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $106 | 80c | +$27.17 | 56 |
About this page
A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.