TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,556
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,024

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,556 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x011f…1122backed Yes2c30,599$490 inLost-$490.04130%0 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d5…79a5backed Yes2c4,947$123 inLost-$123263.8%1 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-67.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Yes2c4,300$69 inLost-$68.8214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-86.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Yes0c3,457$16 inLost-$16.1711412.3%14 W · 100 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-55.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x675c…2415backed Yes2c2,855$45 inLost-$45290%0 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6f…72f2backed Yes1c1,953$25 inLost-$252227.3%6 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeed5…f2e7backed Yes1c1,446$20 inLost-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ee…446cbacked Yes2c1,429$30 inLost-$30515.9%3 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick9cpaid+17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe06…75edbacked Yes1c1,367$20 inLost-$20520%1 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick4cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cfc…3335backed Yes3c1,251$32 inLost-$31.5440%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes3c1,185$30 inLost-$30120%0 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3743…22c0backed Yes1c1,145$14 inLost-$1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1da1…685ebacked Yes3c1,000$27 inLost-$2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 69. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.