Us Politics · resolved market
Kilmar Abrego Garcia released from custody before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa5644ca39371cb4406cc63bed1bf1a8b71a3262eef972ff9a877e93f44dd429
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 53c | 3,709$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.52 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 16c | 3,330$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.89 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Yes | 26c | 2,946$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.83 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 57c | 2,817$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.09 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 15c | 2,397$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0da2…59e7backed Yes | 15c | 2,052$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 41c | 1,826$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.99 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 68c | 1,590$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.8 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…d3f8backed No | 73c | 1,549$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.96 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed No | 55c | 1,220$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…681fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,209$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.28 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…614dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,202$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.13 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed Yes | 27c | 1,141$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.97 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 16c | 1,113$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.31 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,098$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,068$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.37 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 12c | 1,050$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.13 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 73c | 905.7$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.6 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 9c | 900$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 13c | 838.29$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.18 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…eaa7backed Yes | 32c | 800.01$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 15c | 748.58$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 148 | 19.6%29 W · 119 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked No | 10c | 702.94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.82 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…955cbacked Yes | 26c | 602.43$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed Yes | 12c | 585.53$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.27 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 29c | 576.24$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.87 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 15c | 524.42$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 50c | 469.61$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.81 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 22c | 451.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 40c | 451.11$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.11 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…1d6ebacked Yes | 23c | 438.52$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.23 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 47c | 426.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 11c | 331.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 12c | 330$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…19cfbacked Yes | 10c | 287.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 7c | 267$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -11.1wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe424…0d1abacked Yes | 19c | 260.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 19c | 250.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed No | 69c | 243$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.29 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 28c | 233.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Yes | 33c | 231$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.21 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 10c | 225$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 183 | 22.4%41 W · 142 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 23c | 223.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 17c | 215.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x677d…ae46backed Yes | 12c | 198.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 24c | 190.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 240 | 35.4%85 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 72c | 178$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 6c | 167$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 75c | 141.1$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…ab69backed No | 79c | 139.48$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…78d1backed No | 78c | 139.05$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 76 | 72.4%55 W · 21 L | +14.7wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3c76…d4eebacked No | 42c | 135.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.34 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed No | 63c | 135.21$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd7…0643backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 73c | 124.88$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…89b4backed No | 61c | 124.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x008e…a11cbacked No | 73c | 121.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed Yes | 76c | 104.61$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cf…4de3backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 13c | 99.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 18c | 92.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…f380backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 72c | 86.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…7222backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b4…2294backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1f…aa60backed No | 77c | 58.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…66c7backed Yes | 33c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 31c | 43.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 60c | 43.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 153 | 32.7%50 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c2…077cbacked No | 58c | 38.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…cd92backed No | 58c | 34.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf831…b887backed No | 64c | 31.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 175 | 44.6%78 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa129…57c3backed Yes | 48c | 27.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ec…2d07backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…a0d7backed No | 79c | 26.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92ea…ff82backed No | 68c | 20.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…e878backed No | 66c | 18.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.