TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3639…9014

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrey Rublev vs. Luciano Darderi: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Raphael Collignon: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$15.27
Raphael Collignon vs. Valentin Vacherot: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$17.11
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Lincoln: Darwin Blanch vs Bernard Tomicbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Trevor Svajdabacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$12.32
ITF Astana: Ekaterina Maklakova vs Maria Sholokhovabacked Ekaterina Maklakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$11.7
Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Wimbledon WTA: Marie Bouzkova vs Elise Mertensbacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovicbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.43
Wimbledon ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+93.7%+$12.18
Troyes: Lorenzo Giustino vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondesbacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+240.8%+$36.13
Wimbledon ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Learner Tienbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$10.81
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuelbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$19.92
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Sheltonbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$13.95
Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.91
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.27per pick51cpaid-64.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.79
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14.78
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.67
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.64
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.14
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: LA Clippers vs. Sacramento Kingsbacked Sacramento Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Miguel Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winnerbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.