TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x76e7…fb66

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.59
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.91
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$304.17
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.5
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+192.2%+$791.26
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.66
LoL: Solary vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked ZYB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.52
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.6
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.23
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$111.66
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.67
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.41
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.61
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.32
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.67
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.01
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.37
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.68
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.95
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$403.81
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.08
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$40.56
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.81
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$80.01
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$75.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.79
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$40.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.03
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$14.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.