TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcbb2…73d0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
27
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Middle East at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+140.6%+$18.27
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Tresean Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Manoel Sousa win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
UFC Fight Night: Borislav Nikolic vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Borislav Nikolic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.32
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Youssef Zalal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Montel Jackson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Ryan Spann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$17.07
UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Michelle Montague · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$13.2
UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Gokhan Saricam (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Gokhan Saricam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.25
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$17.59
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Johnny Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Estevam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+139.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,382.06
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.