TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd526…519a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2524%6 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.13
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.12
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$9.5
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.39
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.83
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$13.3
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Spurs vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Nets vs. Lakersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+168%+$31.35
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+235.8%+$63.2
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$24.3
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
76ers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.85
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$9.23
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.87
Credit One Charleston Open: McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Copa Colsanitas: Camila Osorio vs Jazmin Ortenzibacked Jazmin Ortenzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.29
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Tommy Paulbacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Credit One Charleston Open: Anna Bondar vs Magdalena Frechbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.41
Credit One Charleston Open: Peyton Stearns vs Ashlyn Kruegerbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+76%+$25.9
Menorca: Daniel Rincon vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.29
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Ana Sofia Sanchez vs Gabriela Cebacked Ana Sofia Sanchez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+153.8%+$42.42
Sao Paulo: Tomas Barrios vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$22.34
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$9.5
Dubrovnik: Polona Hercog vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-54.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+171.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$54.5
Blackhawks vs. Islandersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$33.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. George Washington Revolutionaries (W)backed George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+33%+$11.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.