TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd70…de14

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Cricket, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 53 out of 100; worst World Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2564%16 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.5
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.8
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$16.92
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$24.98
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$37.3
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$24.98
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.14
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$19.7
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.82
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.97
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$33.13
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.24
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.92
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.97
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.84
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.94
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.94
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.33
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.41
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.94
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+120.7%+$43.77
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$12.18
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.7
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+348.5%+$140.01
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.75
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$221.08
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.75
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.85
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.11
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.85
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.78
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$25.64
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.56
All 16 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.