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Wallet 0xea06…39ac

Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Rebuilt .

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

$9,222 staked over 333 qualified picks in 17 categories, 8 of 17 below 50.

59

Best category

WNBA

$480 staked over 13 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.08 per pick.

See the full WNBA board
58

Second best

UFC

$1,775 staked over 57 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.07 per pick.

See the full UFC board
53

Third best

NBA

$229 staked over 13 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.03 per pick.

See the full NBA board

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

You’d be +$297.87 tailing 13 WNBA picks (10 W · 3 L) at $50 each: +45.8% per pick.

A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified WNBA picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.

Record by category17 Categories

What these columns mean
Category
The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Staked
The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
When it bets
Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
Holds
How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
At your price
What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
Qualified picks
Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
Win rate
How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
vs expected
Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
Realizable edge
Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
Avg entry
The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
ROI per pick
The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
CategoryStakedWhen it betsHoldsAt your priceQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
WNBAlast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT$480before 92%in play 8%, over 13 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 49 before the start8 h 53to the end, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled+0.23100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.9+0.2354c+45.8%59
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 7, 2026, EDTNew York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dreamon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Atlanta DreamWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$25+85.2%+$21.3
Oct 1, 2026, EDTGolden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wingson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Golden State ValkyriesLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$95-100%-$95
Sep 29, 2026, EDTMinnesota Lynx vs. New York Libertyon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)New York LibertyWon (open this pick on its own page)42c$20+138.1%+$27.62
Sep 22, 2026, EDTMinnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Feveron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Minnesota LynxLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$50-100%-$50
Sep 22, 2026, EDTSpread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Phoenix MercuryWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$50+85.2%+$42.59
Sep 21, 2026, EDTSpread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Atlanta DreamWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$25+96.1%+$24.02
Sep 20, 2026, EDTPortland Fire vs. Los Angeles Sparkson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Los Angeles SparksWon (open this pick on its own page)53c$50+87.3%+$43.64
Sep 20, 2026, EDTSpread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Washington MysticsWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$25+92.3%+$23.08
Sep 20, 2026, EDTSpread: New York Liberty (-13.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)New York LibertyWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$20+85.2%+$17.04
Sep 20, 2026, EDTSpread: Minnesota Lynx (-15.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Minnesota LynxLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$25-100%-$25
Sep 19, 2026, EDTSpread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Atlanta DreamWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$50+72.4%+$36.21
Sep 19, 2026, EDTSpread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Golden State ValkyriesWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$25+75.4%+$18.86
Sep 18, 2026, EDTIndiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 188.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$20+78.6%+$15.71
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFClast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT$1,775before 46%in play 54%, over 56 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 50 min after the start3 h 30resells, median over 160 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 83 of them sold before the market settled+0.11102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 39 of 57 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)5768.4%39 W · 18 L+6.1+0.1158c+16.9%58
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 10, 2026, EDTUFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Brendan AllenWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$20+92.3%+$18.46
Oct 3, 2026, EDTUFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Natalia SilvaWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$25+53.8%+$13.46
Oct 3, 2026, EDTWill Payton Talbott win by KO or TKO?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)47c$10+112.8%+$11.28
Oct 3, 2026, EDTUFC 332: King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)King GreenLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$30-100%-$30
Oct 3, 2026, EDTUFC 332: Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams (Welterweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Khaos WilliamsLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$50-100%-$50
Oct 3, 2026, EDTO/U 2.5 Roundson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$25-100%-$25
Sep 26, 2026, EDTUFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Raul Rosas Jr.Won (open this pick on its own page)69c$10+45.8%+$4.64
Sep 26, 2026, EDTUFC Fight Night: Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli (Bantamweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Mehemmedeli OsmanliLost (open this pick on its own page)74c$25-100%-$25
Sep 26, 2026, EDTUFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Luis Hernandez (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Luis HernandezWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$50+42.9%+$21.43
Sep 20, 2026, EDTUFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Dooho ChoiLost (open this pick on its own page)71c$50-100%-$50
Sep 20, 2026, EDTUFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Joshua VanWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$100+69.5%+$69.49
Sep 20, 2026, EDTO/U 2.5 Roundson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$25+56.3%+$14.06
Sep 20, 2026, EDTUFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Arman TsarukyanWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$55+37%+$20.49
Sep 19, 2026, EDTUFC 331: Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Edmen ShahbazyanWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$50+58.7%+$29.37
Sep 15, 2026, EDTDana White's Contender Series: Zevan Hunt vs. Mayton Perea (Welterweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Mayton PereaWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$25+100%+$25
Sep 15, 2026, EDTDana White's Contender Series: Oscar Ravello vs. Igor Cavalcanti (Middleweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Igor CavalcantiWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$50+53.8%+$26.92
Sep 15, 2026, EDTDana White's Contender Series: Ednilson Santos vs. Akbar Abdullaev (Lightweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Ednilson SantosLost (open this pick on its own page)9c$10-100%-$10
Sep 15, 2026, EDTDana White's Contender Series: Hugo Guillon vs. Luis Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Hugo GuillonLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$25-100%-$25
Sep 12, 2026, EDTNoche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Jean SilvaWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$114+27.4%+$31.32
Sep 12, 2026, EDTNoche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Brandon MorenoWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$25+57.9%+$14.48
Sep 12, 2026, EDTNoche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Tommy McMillenWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$100+64.6%+$64.62
Sep 12, 2026, EDTNoche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Alexa GrassoWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$26+40.8%+$10.53
Sep 12, 2026, EDTNoche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Rafa GarciaLost (open this pick on its own page)68c$15-100%-$15
Aug 1, 2026, EDTUFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Uroš MedicWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$49+29%+$14.25
Jul 25, 2026, EDTUFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Magomed ZaynukovWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$20+31.7%+$6.33
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast settled Jun 13, 2026, EDT$229before 92%in play 8%, over 13 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 00 before the start5 h 02to the end, median over 101 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 47 of them sold before the market settled+0.09103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 9 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2+0.0960c+24.7%53
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jun 13, 2026, EDTKnicks vs. Spurson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KnicksWon (open this pick on its own page)36c$20+177.8%+$35.56
Jun 8, 2026, EDTSpurs vs. Knickson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KnicksLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$30-100%-$30
Jun 3, 2026, EDTKnicks vs. Spurson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KnicksWon (open this pick on its own page)37c$16+170.3%+$27.24
May 25, 2026, EDTKnicks vs. Cavalierson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KnicksWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$24+85.2%+$20.44
May 23, 2026, EDTThunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$15+61.3%+$9.19
May 21, 2026, EDTVictor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$20-100%-$20
May 18, 2026, EDTCavaliers vs. Pistonson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PistonsLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$10-100%-$10
May 7, 2026, EDTTimberwolves vs. Spurson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SpursWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$27+28.2%+$7.62
May 4, 2026, EDT76ers vs. Knickson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KnicksWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$17+40.8%+$6.94
May 3, 2026, EDT76ers vs. Celticson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CelticsLost (open this pick on its own page)70c$12-100%-$12
Apr 11, 2026, EDTThunder vs. Nuggetson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NuggetsWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$15+32.6%+$4.82
Apr 8, 2026, EDTTimberwolves vs. Magicon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MagicWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$12+28.2%+$3.34
Apr 2, 2026, EDTHawks vs. Magic: O/U 234.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$12+96.1%+$11.19
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast settled Aug 3, 2026, EDT$38—too few: 2 picks3 h 45to the end, median over 76 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 37 of them sold before the market settled+0.37101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7+0.3664c+56.2%53
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Aug 3, 2026, EDTMubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodaron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Taylor FritzWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$25+61.9%+$15.46
Apr 29, 2026, EDTSet Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SinnerWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$13+50.6%+$6.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT$3,913before 93%in play 7%, over 164 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 26 before the start7 h 23to the end, median over 498 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 132 of them sold before the market settled+0.03108% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 108% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 79 of 164 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)16457.3%94 W · 70 L+4.1+0.0255c+4.3%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 12, 2026, EDTCleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rayson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Tampa Bay RaysLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$50-100%-$50
Oct 12, 2026, EDTLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Los Angeles DodgersLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$50-100%-$50
Oct 7, 2026, EDTLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braveson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Los Angeles DodgersWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$50+69.5%+$34.75
Oct 7, 2026, EDTSpread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Chicago White SoxLost (open this pick on its own page)66c$50-100%-$50
Oct 7, 2026, EDTMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padreson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Milwaukee BrewersLost (open this pick on its own page)45c$75-100%-$75
Oct 1, 2026, EDTPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braveson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Atlanta BravesWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$65+96.1%+$62.45
Oct 1, 2026, EDTPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$25+61.3%+$15.32
Sep 30, 2026, EDTBoston Red Sox vs. New York Yankeeson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)New York YankeesWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$145+78.6%+$113.93
Sep 30, 2026, EDTChicago White Sox vs. Houston Astroson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Houston AstrosLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$25-100%-$25
Sep 30, 2026, EDTSpread: Houston Astros (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Houston AstrosLost (open this pick on its own page)40c$20-100%-$20
Sep 30, 2026, EDTPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braveson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Atlanta BravesLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$81-100%-$81
Sep 30, 2026, EDTPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)37c$10+170.3%+$17.03
Sep 25, 2026, EDTHouston Astros vs. Athleticson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)AthleticsLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$50-100%-$50
Sep 24, 2026, EDTSpread: New York Yankees (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)New York YankeesWon (open this pick on its own page)38c$20+163.2%+$32.63
Sep 24, 2026, EDTMilwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillieson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Philadelphia PhilliesLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$25-100%-$25
Sep 24, 2026, EDTNew York Mets vs. Texas Rangerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Texas RangersWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$25+81.8%+$20.45
Sep 23, 2026, EDTCincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braveson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Atlanta BravesWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$10+63.9%+$6.39
Sep 22, 2026, EDTCleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$30-100%-$30
Sep 22, 2026, EDTWashington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Detroit TigersLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$25-100%-$25
Sep 22, 2026, EDTMilwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillieson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Philadelphia PhilliesWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$25+75.4%+$18.86
Sep 22, 2026, EDTSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$35-100%-$35
Sep 20, 2026, EDTMiami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$15+78.6%+$11.79
Sep 20, 2026, EDTAtlanta Braves vs. Houston Astroson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Houston AstrosLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$25-100%-$25
Sep 20, 2026, EDTPhiladelphia Phillies vs. New York Metson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Philadelphia PhilliesWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$50+63.9%+$31.97
Sep 20, 2026, EDTChicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Chicago CubsWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$25+66.7%+$16.67
Showing 25 of 164 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast settled May 21, 2026, EDT$11—too few: 1 pick2 h 38resells, median over 16 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled+0.48102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5+0.4753c+88.7%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
May 21, 2026, EDTWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)53c$11+88.7%+$9.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT$862before 96%in play 4%, over 27 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 49 before the start6 h 15to the end, median over 87 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 33 of them sold before the market settled+0.0288% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 88% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 28 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8+0.0354c+4.8%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 10, 2026, EDTStars vs. Penguinson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)StarsLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$30-100%-$30
Oct 10, 2026, EDTWild vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$25-100%-$25
Oct 9, 2026, EDTRangers vs. Capitalson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CapitalsWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$50+72.4%+$36.21
Oct 9, 2026, EDTKraken vs. Red Wingson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KrakenWon (open this pick on its own page)43c$25+132.6%+$33.14
Oct 8, 2026, EDTSpread: Avalanche (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)AvalancheWon (open this pick on its own page)47c$30+112.8%+$33.83
Oct 8, 2026, EDTAvalanche vs. Flames: O/U 5.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$25+72.4%+$18.1
Oct 8, 2026, EDTSharks vs. Blueson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BluesLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$30-100%-$30
Oct 8, 2026, EDTPredators vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$50-100%-$50
Oct 7, 2026, EDTPanthers vs. Kings: O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$45+74.1%+$33.34
Oct 6, 2026, EDTUtah vs. Devils: O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$20-100%-$20
Oct 4, 2026, EDTFlames vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$50-100%-$50
Oct 4, 2026, EDTKings vs. Sharkson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SharksWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$50+92.4%+$46.19
Oct 3, 2026, EDTSpread: Golden Knights (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)DucksWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$35+72.4%+$25.34
Oct 3, 2026, EDTSpread: Stars (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BluesWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$35+63.3%+$22.14
Oct 2, 2026, EDTBruins vs. Jetson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BruinsWon (open this pick on its own page)48c$35+108.3%+$37.92
Oct 2, 2026, EDTRangers vs. Red Wingson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)RangersWon (open this pick on its own page)47c$35+112.8%+$39.47
Oct 1, 2026, EDTLightning vs. Rangerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LightningLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$25-100%-$25
Sep 30, 2026, EDTIslanders vs. Maple Leafson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)IslandersLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$55-100%-$55
Sep 30, 2026, EDTPenguins vs. Flyerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FlyersLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$25-100%-$25
Sep 30, 2026, EDTBlackhawks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$50+75.4%+$37.72
Sep 29, 2026, EDTCanadiens vs. Maple Leafson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CanadiensWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$25+100%+$25
Sep 21, 2026, EDTFlyers vs. Capitalson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CapitalsWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$25+75.4%+$18.86
May 19, 2026, EDTNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)HabsWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$10+25%+$2.5
May 18, 2026, EDTCanadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$16-100%-$16
May 1, 2026, EDTOilers vs. Duckson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OilersLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$18-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT$195—too few: 1 pick3 h 56resells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.30103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3+0.2971c+40.6%51
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 13, 2026, EDTZuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)GarciaWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$195+40.6%+$79.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jul 3, 2026, EDT$66—too few: 3 picks3 h 19to the end, median over 49 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 24 of them sold before the market settled+0.11127% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 127% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2+0.0858c+14.4%51
College Football Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT$290—too few: 7 picks10 h 03to the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled-0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1-0.0144c+60.3%50
Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Apr 16, 2026, EDT$42—too few: 2 picks5 h 24to the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled-0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)250%1 W · 1 L-0.1-0.0555c-21.1%50
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Apr 16, 2026, EDTWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$22+57.9%+$12.45
Apr 9, 2026, EDTWill FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)48c$20-100%-$20.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast settled May 17, 2026, EDT$23—too few: 2 picks3 h 00resells, median over 38 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 21 of them sold before the market settled-0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)250%1 W · 1 L-0.3-0.1666c-37.5%49
Parlays Inactivelast settled Sep 24, 2026, EDT$10—no start of play—no market to hold—no market price10%0 W · 1 L-0.4-0.3535c-100%48
SettledTicketResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 24, 2026, EDT49ers vs. Rams: O/U 48.5 AND 49ers vs. Rams2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)35c$10-100%-$10.33
The one parlay.A parlay pays a dollar a share only if every leg wins, and its Entry is the price of the whole ticket, market maker’s margin included. That is why most of the Parlays board sits below 50, and why that is normal, not a board full of bad forecasters.
Champions League Inactivelast settled May 30, 2026, EDT$20—too few: 1 pick8 h 18to the end, median over 14 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled-0.37no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.4-0.3838c-100%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
May 30, 2026, EDTWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)38c$20-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT$1,100before 93%in play 7%, over 30 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 13 before the start6 h 09to the end, median over 33 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled-0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 12 of 30 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.9-0.0356c-4.8%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 11, 2026, EDTSpread: Commanders (-3.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CommandersLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$25-100%-$25
Oct 11, 2026, EDTBrowns vs. Jetson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BrownsLost (open this pick on its own page)44c$25-100%-$25
Oct 5, 2026, EDTFalcons vs. Saintson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SaintsLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$106-100%-$106
Oct 2, 2026, EDTSteelers vs. Brownson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BrownsWon (open this pick on its own page)43c$19+132.6%+$25.71
Sep 28, 2026, EDTEagles vs. Bearson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)EaglesLost (open this pick on its own page)66c$50-100%-$50
Sep 28, 2026, EDTRams vs. Broncoson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BroncosWon (open this pick on its own page)53c$50+88.7%+$44.34
Sep 27, 2026, EDTSpread: Vikings (-5.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BuccaneersLost (open this pick on its own page)79c$25-100%-$25
Sep 27, 2026, EDTVikings vs. Buccaneerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BuccaneersLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$75-100%-$75
Sep 27, 2026, EDTSpread: 49ers (-6.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49ersLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$75-100%-$75
Sep 27, 2026, EDTChargers vs. Bills: O/U 51.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$25+81.8%+$20.45
Sep 27, 2026, EDTSpread: Texans (-2.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ColtsWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$25+85.2%+$21.3
Sep 27, 2026, EDTSpread: Bengals (-2.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BengalsLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$60-100%-$60
Sep 27, 2026, EDTSpread: Lions (-5.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LionsWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$50+75.4%+$37.72
Sep 22, 2026, EDTSpread: Rams (-4.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)RamsWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$50+72.4%+$36.21
Sep 20, 2026, EDTSpread: Seahawks (-9.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CardinalsLost (open this pick on its own page)65c$25-100%-$25
Sep 20, 2026, EDTBengals vs. Texans: O/U 46.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$50+85.2%+$42.59
Sep 20, 2026, EDTSteelers vs. Patriots: O/U 40.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$20-100%-$20
Sep 18, 2026, EDTSpread: Bills (-4.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BillsWon (open this pick on its own page)53c$20+88.7%+$17.74
Sep 17, 2026, EDTLions vs. Billson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BillsWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$25+44.9%+$11.23
Sep 13, 2026, EDTCommanders vs. Eagles: O/U 47.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$20+59.4%+$11.88
Sep 13, 2026, EDTPackers vs. Vikingson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)VikingsWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$25+78.6%+$19.64
Sep 13, 2026, EDTDolphins vs. Raiderson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)DolphinsLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$55-100%-$55
Sep 13, 2026, EDTSpread: LAC (-9.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ARIWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$20+96.1%+$19.22
Sep 13, 2026, EDTSpread: Bills (-3.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TexansLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$20-100%-$20
Sep 13, 2026, EDTFalcons vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$20-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast settled May 20, 2026, EDT$22—too few: 2 picks3 h 58to the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.52no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)20%0 W · 2 L-1.0-0.5252c-100%46
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
May 20, 2026, EDTBeijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharkson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Beijing DucksLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$11-100%-$11
Apr 10, 2026, EDTNingbo Rockets vs. Zhejiang Lionson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Ningbo RocketsLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$11-100%-$10.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast settled Sep 14, 2026, EDT$146—too few: 6 picks4 h 05to the end, median over 27 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled-0.20no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2-0.2053c-35.2%46
What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.