Movies · resolved market
Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ef1423ece79394a5002898900932c84a63c8199c4d49e11fda85e7997d324a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 29c | 9,192$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,559.09 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 50c | 7,127$3,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,585.39 | 305 | 23%70 W · 235 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 35c | 6,657$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.37 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | +21.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 65c | 3,407$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.85 | 242 | 39.7%96 W · 146 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 59c | 2,272$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.17 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…74fcbacked No | 28c | 2,200$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,999$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.69 | 248 | 21.8%54 W · 194 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…eba3backed No | 37c | 1,729$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +167.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 30c | 1,471$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.91 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 48c | 1,132$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.66 | 91 | 25.3%23 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd683…3c0cbacked No | 30c | 1,100$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +234.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 53c | 1,090$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7056…c95cbacked No | 39c | 838.81$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.39 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes | 62c | 705.79$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.87 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed Yes | 44c | 656.66$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.26 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 65c | 649.18$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.69 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 43c | 612.63$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.36 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 40c | 593.45$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.18 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b1…ac9abacked No | 32c | 592.51$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +211.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…5219backed No | 32c | 581.74$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…1f4cbacked No | 26c | 548.36$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 71c | 524$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…c7e9backed No | 39c | 512.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 74c | 511.46$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.08 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…3897backed Yes | 73c | 472.39$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 23c | 422.73$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.1 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 480 | 28.5%137 W · 343 L | -33.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11c8…be84backed Yes | 65c | 379.77$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.64 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed No | 32c | 358.3$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.13 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 50c | 348.22$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.38 | 112 | 36.6%41 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 30c | 340.15$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.93 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c33…259abacked No | 15c | 338$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 50c | 313.62$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.08 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…385bbacked No | 15c | 304.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +306.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…2b1fbacked Yes | 78c | 300.34$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.41 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0019…6629backed No | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…fbb6backed No | 35c | 291.38$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.06 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked No | 42c | 275.81$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.81 | 203 | 34%69 W · 134 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 74c | 271.85$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 66c | 265.15$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 271 | 30.6%83 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 46c | 261.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.09 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e04…143dbacked No | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked Yes | 59c | 239.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.79 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 67c | 226.75$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.09 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 27c | 226$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.62 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 45c | 219.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 148 | 30.4%45 W · 103 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22b0…ef31backed No | 50c | 217.8$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…cec8backed Yes | 65c | 216.93$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e6…8e78backed Yes | 62c | 214.78$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.13 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a6…9964backed No | 22c | 209.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…22ebbacked No | 11c | 193$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…e801backed Yes | 11c | 165$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…3da3backed Yes | 52c | 155.45$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…a665backed No | 36c | 154$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked No | 66c | 151.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 37c | 149.41$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.73 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 47c | 144$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 885 | 33.6%297 W · 588 L | -76.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39ca…7605backed Yes | 40c | 133.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 15c | 131.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…b1debacked Yes | 52c | 125.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 44c | 124.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.06 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 27c | 123.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.17 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 38c | 123.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…07a3backed Yes | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked Yes | 42c | 118.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfb…e887backed No | 28c | 118.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 44c | 108.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab4…404abacked No | 57c | 104.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed Yes | 80c | 96.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.57 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 66c | 94.93$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…4c49backed No | 13c | 94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 54c | 92.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bf…4bd1backed No | 28c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 13c | 80$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked No | 49c | 79.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 116 | 22.4%26 W · 90 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 38c | 78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba9…2210backed Yes | 51c | 77.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3344…56c4backed Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 54c | 74.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…2ee3backed No | 40c | 72.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 53c | 71.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 32c | 65.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbc…c072backed No | 74c | 63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 58c | 62.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 27c | 59.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 1,415 | 8%113 W · 1,302 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked No | 57c | 53.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked No | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9842…5ac8backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x114a…46c0backed Yes | 45c | 49.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 65c | 48.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 40c | 45.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…76a4backed No | 45c | 44.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d0…0a38backed Yes | 50c | 39.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c37…a324backed No | 48c | 37.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…6237backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?this page
- Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 34m?No won
- Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?Yes won
- Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?No won
- Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.