TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Will Wisconsin win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,166 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x646b…5112backed Yes1c73,038$668 inLost-$668.17382.6%1 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-83.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes1c72,440$507 inLost-$507.0290645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes0c29,692$117 inLost-$116.98822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-88.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551d…4afebacked Yes1c15,417$93 inLost-$92.550%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…7b83backed Yes1c12,111$61 inLost-$60.566720.9%14 W · 53 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-46.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd046…c496backed Yes1c11,066$100 inLost-$99.8710034%34 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee54…8189backed Yes1c8,180$49 inLost-$49.0850%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b8e…e8b0backed Yes1c7,639$61 inLost-$61.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1446…0a30backed Yes1c4,885$24 inLost-$24.42812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c4,822$21 inLost-$20.61230%0 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Yes1c4,500$32 inLost-$31.55650%28 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x648c…09c6backed Yes1c3,400$20 inLost-$20.4119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick21cpaid-86.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes1c3,000$15 inLost-$1511844.1%52 W · 66 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes1c3,000$20 inLost-$203420.6%7 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes1c2,249$20 inLost-$20.088230.5%25 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-30.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Yes1c2,000$20 inLost-$19.995514.5%8 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes1c1,985$14 inLost-$14.327626.3%20 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a42…e2b0backed Yes1c1,778$16 inLost-$16250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa081…77e6backed Yes1c1,597$15 inLost-$159454.3%51 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ff…c62cbacked Yes1c1,583$15 inLost-$1540%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbef…fe08backed Yes1c1,500$13 inLost-$13425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid-44.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f7…a634backed Yes1c1,500$14 inLost-$13.5714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ae9…810abacked Yes1c1,250$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes1c1,118$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.