TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b2b…d9c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+819.3%+$573.48
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$202.22
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$56.92
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$91.11
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+77%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SoundHound AI (SOUN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Will Celsius (CELH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$34
Will AMC Entertainment (AMC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$85
Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Marathon Petroleum (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Integra Lifesciences (IART) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will Hyatt Hotels (H) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$19.66
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.8
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$167.07
Will Yum! Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.01
Will Humana (HUM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.67
Will Caesars Entertainment (CZR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+29%+$8.79
Will Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$22.03
Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.75
Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will Verizon (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
All 16 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs AM Gaming (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$6.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.