TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea7f…759c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3831.6%12 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+517.3%+$77.54
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.96
France vs. England: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.65
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72.31
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.23
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.93
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$63.66
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.84
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+436.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+436.7%+$311.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.