TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6997…f005

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst F1 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.45
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+119.3%+$17.89
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+186.4%+$44.74
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.33
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+49.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+170.1%+$39.11
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+159.5%+$19.97
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.92
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.01
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16.13
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.