TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9063…bd49

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst Valorant at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.31
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$12.02
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+173%+$109.8
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.76
Spread: Austria (-1.5)backed Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$121.18
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$141.83
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$858Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$330.74
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$595.51
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$657Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+129.6%+$851.02
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.21
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$364.92
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$417.81
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.3
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.81
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.15
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+378.5%+$73.54
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+36%+$6.46
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$25
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.42
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Asuncion 2: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Nick Hardtbacked Nick Hardt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+36%+$16.12
HSBC Championships: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Ferybacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Royan: Emilien Demanet vs Carlos Sanchez Joverbacked Carlos Sanchez Jover · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+166%+$17.35
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$19.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$39.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Nigeria vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xibacked Nigeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Alliance Guardians vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Pigeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.