TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe547…9c90

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Dota2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 55 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+426.3%+$213.16
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Will FURIA win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$295.23
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+28%+$99.4
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+49.5%+$133.62
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+38.1%+$67.02
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+257.1%+$115.71
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+38.9%+$35
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+87.6%+$17.51
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+132.6%+$57
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+51.5%+$34
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+63.9%+$39
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+129.6%+$58.33
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$130
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+45.2%+$51.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+91.2%+$45.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$24.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$6.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.