TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x220e…cdcb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Valorant, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.91
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.88
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jack Draper vs Ugo Humbertbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.93
Bad Homburg Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.6
Bad Homburg Open: Xinyu Wang vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Set Handicap: Fokina (-1.5) vs Dimitrov (+1.5)backed Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Bad Homburg Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.06
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskovabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.94
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32%+$4.16
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$5.51
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.54
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.03
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.22
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$5.59
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$6.84
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.94
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.36
Counter-Strike: 9z vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.66
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$17.5
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.84
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.91
Valorant: TYLOO vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.67
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.23
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$12.66
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$10.17
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$9.42
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.54
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.72
New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempobacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. Valenciabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$4.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.