TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc2d3…372f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Weather, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 51 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT3542.9%15 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.31
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$14.61
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+30%+$4.43
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$2.81
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$11.55
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.68
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$5.3
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$17.17
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$20.46
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$11.7
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$5.69
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.71
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+407.7%+$61.15
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+176.6%+$26.49
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-51.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Talia Gibson vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)backed Celtic FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.