Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72164d1367b6a51db89d88cf40bac9731040e25cfedaa08246941a9ba957d772
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 22c | 20,421$4,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560.76 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 78c | 5,152$4,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.52 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 4,542$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.75 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 78c | 3,602$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.05 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.02 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 1,759$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.69 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,455$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.74 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…6944backed Yes | 30c | 1,283$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…648cbacked Yes | 19c | 908.39$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.66 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +10.8wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 78c | 900$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 78c | 778.9$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.77 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 35c | 723.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 79c | 713.5$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.16 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 62c | 673.13$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.12 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 78c | 669$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.31 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 74c | 592.21$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.21 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Yes | 25c | 529.49$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.7 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 77c | 504.61$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.23 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 73c | 453$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.08 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 77c | 360$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 74c | 333.79$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 18c | 291.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 27c | 280$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 26c | 279.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 73c | 255.75$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 23c | 242.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 77c | 233.36$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 79c | 231.28$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 67c | 212.01$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 39c | 211.89$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.87 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 75c | 210$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 76c | 200$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f24…3c42backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 72c | 183.77$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 60c | 175$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 14c | 169.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 76c | 166.19$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 27c | 164.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 74c | 163.27$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 76c | 160$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 74c | 156.33$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 77c | 150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 32c | 148.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ee…8dfebacked Yes | 26c | 147.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed Yes | 30c | 146$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed Yes | 43c | 130$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 25c | 127.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 75c | 125$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x686d…1a68backed Yes | 19c | 123.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed No | 76c | 105$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 76c | 95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x808a…ef3fbacked Yes | 29c | 95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…a77dbacked Yes | 27c | 92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x065d…a672backed Yes | 23c | 86.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2b…96dbbacked No | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 27c | 79.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked Yes | 21c | 72.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked Yes | 21c | 72.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 25c | 67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 69c | 66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e1…1b3dbacked No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9253…41d1backed Yes | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 30c | 50.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…e632backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa34…c08ebacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 75c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 95 | 78.9%75 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 56c | 42.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 75c | 42.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 33c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -10.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…9522backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…94f5backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…c753backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 34c | 32.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 49c | 31.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7362…1e3abacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84f…612cbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…05e0backed No | 78c | 25.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c2…412cbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7172…5e45backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x905d…2c17backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257b…d288backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d1f0backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2a…b7dfbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +213.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec49…5975backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…8262backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?this page
- Will Callie Barr be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.