TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x126a…a073

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$13.35
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$7.1
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$20.41
Will Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$23.15
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.06
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.61
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$105.19
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$22.03
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$18.3
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+31.4%+$94.06
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+63.9%+$206.03
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+61.3%+$122.58
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,093Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$364.36
Will Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$706Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$347.97
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$39.34
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$255.04
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$36.62
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$45.21
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.82
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+175.1%+$126.28
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+104.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.