TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdcac…1328

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: UFC, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 57 out of 100; worst Boxing at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+56%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Gillian Robertson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Kauê Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Esteban Ribovics win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$24.29
Will Joel Álvarez win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Eduardo Chapolin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.15
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Tresean Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
UFC 330: Lucas Fernando vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Rafael Tobias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tofiq Musayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+195.6%+$97.21
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kamaru Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Gaston Bolaños · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$48.48
Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+552.8%+$82.92
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$25.03
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Santiago Luna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Édgar Cháirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$125.13
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$85.26
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed King Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Waldo Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Johnny Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Francisco Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Renato Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+117.8%+$25.08
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+248.4%+$37.26
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.96
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+435.7%+$87.14
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Haiti?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$55.24
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27.06
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+55%+$12.66
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 17 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
La Velada del Año 6: IlloJuan vs TheGrefgbacked IlloJuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.