World Politics · resolved market
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3557ed4e687c5e4f00b00cc0be5159075643c2b32b1c42feabee85ff6d6cabc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 63c | 2,000$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.82 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…6643backed Yes | 69c | 1,907$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03b…9d4abacked Yes | 34c | 1,588$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed No | 25c | 1,428$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.87 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 24c | 1,395$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.57 | 229 | 55.5%127 W · 102 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 67c | 1,386$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.03 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 47c | 1,268$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.4 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 45c | 1,046$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 62c | 1,025$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.35 | 237 | 44.7%106 W · 131 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66be…f30ebacked No | 68c | 877.37$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 68c | 815.53$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.98 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…7bfcbacked Yes | 71c | 704.79$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked Yes | 46c | 685$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.16 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 47c | 530.86$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.64 | 553 | 51.2%283 W · 270 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe7…ffc9backed Yes | 32c | 522.11$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 25cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…c245backed Yes | 55c | 514.57$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 44c | 465.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.16 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6247…0888backed Yes | 20c | 435.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +175.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 52c | 427.83$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.8 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 46c | 393.46$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.23 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…c40bbacked Yes | 69c | 379.46$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.84 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 40c | 352.23$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.82 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 72c | 343.25$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.11 | 895 | 48.3%432 W · 463 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 36c | 333.59$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.5 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ac…d2bbbacked Yes | 25c | 332.95$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +163.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3872…bb1dbacked Yes | 25c | 322.74$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 65c | 320$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.45 | 233 | 55.8%130 W · 103 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 59c | 300.22$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.83 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 80c | 300.08$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.35 | 325 | 34.8%113 W · 212 L | -12.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0579…aa36backed No | 66c | 283.8$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked No | 30c | 278.96$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed No | 69c | 240.28$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.09 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 60c | 238.82$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.62 | 553 | 34.5%191 W · 362 L | -38.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 48c | 237.85$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.35 | 256 | 52%133 W · 123 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…9292backed No | 68c | 218.18$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 68c | 214.28$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 247 | 60.3%149 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 51c | 213.63$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.41 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 72c | 200.46$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…7663backed Yes | 42c | 200$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…6807backed Yes | 66c | 190$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 27c | 181.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 179 | 52%93 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 35c | 173.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 41c | 167.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…e22dbacked Yes | 30c | 165.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 58c | 156.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.21 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 69c | 152.77$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.94 | 995 | 17.2%171 W · 824 L | -149.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 74c | 139.18$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 49c | 135.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 367 | 55.3%203 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x406c…dfe9backed Yes | 30c | 131.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +229.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815a…af37backed Yes | 25c | 131$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 42c | 130$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 192 | 62.5%120 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 50c | 126.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 68c | 125$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 374 | 58%217 W · 157 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 36c | 121.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 59c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed No | 67c | 119.93$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed Yes | 75c | 115.69$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 25c | 114$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d6…e94bbacked Yes | 37c | 108$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…a665backed No | 33c | 102.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 34c | 86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…d8e3backed No | 57c | 81.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 27c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 190 | 45.3%86 W · 104 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1840…6798backed No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Yes | 66c | 76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x858a…af1abacked Yes | 68c | 73.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 73c | 72.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54c6…e5c2backed Yes | 34c | 71.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…59a6backed No | 69c | 71.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 59c | 71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…34e7backed Yes | 22c | 67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2799…b1e1backed No | 31c | 61.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Yes | 49c | 61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed No | 26c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa875…9f99backed Yes | 42c | 59.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…9b6cbacked Yes | 28c | 58.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b14…af44backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9129…dd8ebacked Yes | 25c | 57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +62%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeec…0682backed Yes | 27c | 54.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +275.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9800…9a33backed Yes | 71c | 53.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…8620backed No | 68c | 52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…2ad3backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +137.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…ae4abacked Yes | 55c | 50.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…a8a9backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +143.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…a246backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 33c | 49.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 32c | 47.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 151 | 37.1%56 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79c…70c5backed No | 26c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 29c | 43.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 1,437 | 10.2%147 W · 1,290 L | -4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cd…d931backed Yes | 76c | 42.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…e632backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4845…2391backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?this page
- Will the Bank of Korea hike by 50 bps or more at the August 2026 meeting?No won
- Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.