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World Politics · resolved market

Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,862
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,058

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,862 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x965f…ecf7backed Yes33c3,905$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dce…4490backed Yes32c2,814$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.64544.4%20 W · 25 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+7.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f21…805ebacked Yes58c1,634$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.311414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-65.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes73c1,059$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.813644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes30c1,007$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.0823744.7%106 W · 131 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe040…824fbacked No67c885$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6322955.5%127 W · 102 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No60c852.81$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.2736154.8%198 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes64c790.39$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.2114425.7%37 W · 107 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No59c752$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.5941152.3%215 W · 196 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8469…dab0backed No33c746.13$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.11560%3 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick23cpaid+197.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xacce…9ffdbacked Yes71c665.23$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ca…1705backed No37c567.27$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.387530.7%23 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64f3…34b6backed Yes72c555$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.64841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes68c539.09$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.752060%12 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No39c518.19$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.7346830.1%141 W · 327 L-20.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8373…f0bcbacked No64c495.76$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.611650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No59c472.87$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…fb7bbacked Yes64c468$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No45c452.16$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.5626136.8%96 W · 165 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4518…1cacbacked No60c451.28$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.481414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-72.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x80d5…a1dabacked Yes76c435.74$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3872…bb1dbacked No25c430.39$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.79922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No66c410.2$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.917830.3%54 W · 124 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No36c400$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.323355.8%130 W · 103 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No56c370.73$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.6925652%133 W · 123 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No59c333.43$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.256018.3%11 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-59.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No40c330.83$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.0455351.2%283 W · 270 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No47c329.44$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5219949.2%98 W · 101 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe7…ffc9backed Yes35c323.85$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.99944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick25cpaid+46.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66be…f30ebacked Yes60c322.74$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2120%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No57c319.42$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.178359%49 W · 34 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked No54c307.83$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.9910138.6%39 W · 62 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No59c303.28$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe40a…e4a2backed No39c300.73$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.7512258.2%71 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No26c283.31$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.659136.3%33 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x676c…ce51backed Yes24c270.27$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5499…0ed5backed Yes70c268.33$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.852532%8 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes75c266.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x039b…9b6cbacked Yes32c254$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.281428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No58c242.52$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2617459.8%104 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815a…af37backed No24c238.76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.461118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes71c233.99$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9811042.7%47 W · 63 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3080…337bbacked No52c230$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked No64c220$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.78743.7%38 W · 49 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes75c213.61$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.2140%0 W · 4 L-2.8wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No53c205$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9727255.9%152 W · 120 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b7…7d35backed Yes73c200.46$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12055334.5%191 W · 362 L-38.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649553.7%51 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No43c197.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3513743.8%60 W · 77 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed No73c191.53$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.664872.9%35 W · 13 L+6.7wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked Yes74c185.97$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.615328.3%15 W · 38 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes74c167$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.584242.9%18 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff4e…63e0backed Yes74c160.61$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No41c154.95$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.531421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-61.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed No43c151.29$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.974564.4%29 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4845…2391backed Yes65c150$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.511145%50 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e55…9a76backed No65c144.2$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54c6…e5c2backed No34c141.12$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.38650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+54.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7201…00a4backed Yes51c135.08$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes45c134.52$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1130944%136 W · 173 L-23.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No71c125.74$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.118053.3%96 W · 84 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No32c125$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.519262.5%120 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No33c125$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3537458%217 W · 157 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked No25c125$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0579…aa36backed Yes64c120$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7770%0 W · 7 L-3.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4d57…8620backed No29c110$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.12450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed No40c108.14$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.394542.2%19 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No43c106.68$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2824760.3%149 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No32c101$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.311,43710.2%147 W · 1,290 L-4.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Yes73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked No34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.58944.9%40 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb17d…59aebacked No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1707…93c4backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323630.6%11 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe908…047bbacked Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca75…0a64backed Yes22c81.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.47647.4%36 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed No70c73.81$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0815754.1%85 W · 72 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No26c72.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.542955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd2…9ab1backed No40c71$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.62842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1840…6798backed Yes71c70.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed No68c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No50c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.081,35044.4%600 W · 750 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…d8e3backed Yes64c68.53$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbed…a665backed No56c68$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.611145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36f7…5f09backed Yes30c67.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-40.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f7c…34e7backed Yes52c67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.841060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x237f…362ebacked Yes75c65.83$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa68b…c4b4backed Yes30c63.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No47c61.33$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5999517.2%171 W · 824 L-149.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-61.5%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No29c61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3115455.8%86 W · 68 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes66c59.43$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2211040.9%45 W · 65 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x45ac…d2bbbacked No26c58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick22cpaid+163.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc92…27c9backed No29c57$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.27550.7%38 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3237…5658backed No28c56.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.842642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f1…eceabacked Yes72c55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-56.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x462d…b31dbacked Yes67c54.88$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x124e…a8a9backed Yes31c54.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+143.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Yes75c53.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.49650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2495…619cbacked Yes51c53.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.