TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0fad…32d7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick69cpaid-40.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+40.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$10.13
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$40.79
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Czechia vs. Canadabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.25
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.