TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f1b…a1b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Dota2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.84
France leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$26.04
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$25.2
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$24.78
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$176.41
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Spain leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.94
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$117.6
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+191.5%+$28.91
Germany leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$20.16
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.22
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$156.6
Portugal leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Uzbekistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$166
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-74.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.5
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.14
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Group Stagebacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.8
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$210
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.02
LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.74
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,108.54
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$740
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$151.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.