Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc16fade4bbc06895f8e456e1e49c6aa51c1b2dc7f734b3ad8fe8a5900d6a4174
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 12c | 7,630$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,681.97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +163.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed Yes | 32c | 1,172$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.61 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 28c | 1,144$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.12 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…f203backed Yes | 14c | 992.33$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 75c | 990.65$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.45 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 58c | 980.46$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.4 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 10c | 777.41$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.4 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 77c | 703.88$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.29 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 60c | 702$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.02 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 25c | 605.35$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.44 | 127 | 23.6%30 W · 97 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf107…b9babacked Yes | 39c | 597.31$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.07 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…73cfbacked No | 53c | 568.5$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.97 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 30c | 543.44$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.86 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8604…fd3abacked Yes | 43c | 517.53$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 11c | 465.76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 44c | 424.09$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.6 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…114bbacked Yes | 48c | 415.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5f…c111backed Yes | 42c | 375$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…deeebacked No | 60c | 368.96$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 19c | 341.24$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.89 | 543 | 12%65 W · 478 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 63c | 301.91$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.5 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 290$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.58 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed Yes | 40c | 266.03$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.35 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…626ebacked No | 50c | 259.12$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.56 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 56c | 234.11$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.84 | 368 | 34.2%126 W · 242 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 40c | 220.48$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.07 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…5aecbacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 44c | 199.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.79 | 354 | 34.7%123 W · 231 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 52c | 197.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.55 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 59c | 190$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.57 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 14c | 180$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.98 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x808a…ef3fbacked Yes | 13c | 164$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 12c | 156.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.21 | 166 | 34.3%57 W · 109 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…b747backed Yes | 46c | 155.59$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 20c | 147.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.34 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…bdeebacked No | 52c | 144.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 77c | 137.07$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.17 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 28c | 136.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.24 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 40c | 131.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 78c | 124.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.79 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 74c | 117.92$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…e632backed Yes | 46c | 115.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…5ac4backed Yes | 49c | 112$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 14c | 107.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 278 | 22.3%62 W · 216 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 70c | 105$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Yes | 44c | 103.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0446…cc69backed Yes | 33c | 101.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedcb…54b1backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 61c | 99.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 64c | 95.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 14c | 95.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.65 | 291 | 34.4%100 W · 191 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…92d6backed Yes | 47c | 92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…a64abacked Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…337bbacked Yes | 13c | 88.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 45c | 86.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 33c | 86.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 175 | 20.6%36 W · 139 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…5996backed No | 50c | 85.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 62c | 85.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 40c | 85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 490 | 36.7%180 W · 310 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed Yes | 13c | 83.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…7e89backed Yes | 17c | 80$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +198.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6b…9c50backed Yes | 45c | 78.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 29c | 71.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 63c | 67.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…a81ebacked Yes | 42c | 66.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 27c | 66.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 23c | 63.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…0a10backed Yes | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 47c | 59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…29b4backed No | 52c | 53.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 79c | 53.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 34c | 51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 215 | 42.3%91 W · 124 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3f…bc25backed Yes | 47c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5a86backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c9b6backed Yes | 33c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8a…f6a4backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…b9f9backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…c1aabacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a8fdbacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ccd0backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5c…767bbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…61b4backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…ceecbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed Yes | 47c | 46.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783e…5a19backed No | 59c | 45.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed No | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 28c | 40.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 736 | 15.1%111 W · 625 L | -113.3wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 54c | 40.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 230 | 60.9%140 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf44a…cc0bbacked Yes | 48c | 39.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…610cbacked No | 40c | 37.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…2ad3backed No | 56c | 35.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea8…6256backed No | 65c | 33.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…0743backed Yes | 56c | 32.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?this page
- Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?No won
- Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?No won
- Will Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19?No won
- Will Madison Cawthorn be the Republican nominee for FL-19?No won
- Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.